Villain ( whale) opens from UTG $15 in a 1/3 game

Hero (professional low stakes crusher) calls from BTN with Q♣️7❤️

SB (young man's coffee) calls

BB (young kid wearing headphones, probably studies preflop charts and stuff) calls

Flop: T♣️9♣️6♦️

BB leads $15, UTG raises $42, Hero calls, BB calls, SB folds

Turn: 3❤️

BB tank folds out of turn after seeing this card

UTG checks, Hero bets $67, UTG raises to $200

Now I got a pure bluff catcher (Q high pair draws and a gutshot), I ask him to show 1 and ill pay him $10, he agrees and shows K♣️. Because my hand has some nice blocker affects (blocking possible straight flushes), I decided to bluff catch and jam for $500. This is called a blocker effect conflicted merge jam aiming to get called by worse and fold out better hands. Then villain tank calls with K♣️9❤️

But river is Q♦️ so I suck out on him and win a nice pot. thoughts on my play?

This might change this year but just from my experience last year, and it seems like GG/WSOP is doing the same this year, I used a rewards credit card (BILT) to purchase tournament tickets.

No fees were charged by the card issuer and none by WSOP. I got 1x points for each dollars spent on buy-ins. Also the line to verify your cc/ID is way shorter than the cash buy line. And you only have to verify once and you can buy tickets for the entire series. It looks like even if you verified last year you have to do it again this year.

Paid the charges off with regular statement bill and no interest was charged.

Don't fuck up obviously and max late reg the main and bust out to Ray Romano when you can't pay the bill a month later. Or??? Send it

Yesterday GTO Wizard published a benchmark pitting the best LLMs against GTO Wizard AI.

Tom Dwan responded:

>This is cool. 5k obviously not enough hands though, you guys should know that. Can you run a new one with 50-100k hands

This reveals one of the most interesting parts of the project: luck-adjusted winrates.

Let me explain.

Poker players are conditioned to think you need 100k+ hands for meaningful results, but that's not always true.

• If you know both players' complete strategies, you can calculate their winrates with zero variance (just like a solver)
• If you only know one player's complete strategy (GTO Wizard in this case), you can still drastically reduce the variance. That enables us to get statistically significant match results with a fraction of the sample size.

How Does It Work?

You already probably understand variance reduction as a concept. For example, all-in adjusted winrates are a common way to reduce variance since we know each player's equity at the moment they went all in. But AIVAT goes way beyond that. Knowing half the strategy pair is enough for massive variance reduction.

As an example, since we know GTO Wizard's entire range at showdown, instead of noisy hand vs hand showdowns, we can evaluate hand vs range. That obviously converges a lot faster. The short-term results stop being dominated by coolers and more quickly reflect your true EV.

But that’s only one piece of it. AIVAT applies several luck-adjustments that build on the fact that one player’s strategy is known. For example, it also accounts for card luck (how much the board helped or hurt the agent), as well as RNG luck (how lucky you were with respect to villain's mixed actions, e.g. maybe they rolled a low frequency fold to a massive bluff).

Versions of this technique have previously been used in landmark poker AI projects like DeepStack and Pluribus. The details go beyond what I can outline in a reddit post, but they are fully explained in the literature. You can read more about it here:

• AIVAT Paper
• GTO Wizard Paper

Here's a look at how closely the luck-adjusted winnings tracks the raw winnings over time. This graph is updated in real time.

https://preview.redd.it/ozl67fhrbfug1.png?width=1354&format=png&auto=webp&s=b25898f763381b0493f373ef52fd91746b437700

We publish every model's raw score and exact luck-corrections right on the leaderboard.

https://benchmark.gtowizard.com/

What Can This Extend To?

AIVAT works in spots where some player's strategy is fully known, so any "vs solver" situation really. For example, it's been used in human vs pluribus matches.

What other applications do you think this technology has in poker?

I know this may be a basic question but I’m very interested in hearing people’s opinions. Thanks.

somewhat embarrassed to post this but it was such a rollercoaster hand I don't care if y'all flame me

1/3 semi-private game, 6-handed, ~$750 effective, $5 straddle is on

BU (villain & effective stack) opens to $15

SB calls

Hero in straddle calls with A♣️4♣️

Flop (pot is $49): Q♠️8♦️6♣️

checks to BU who bets $30

My read on him is he is a theory-oriented player who focuses on ranges more than his own cards. His BU opening range is wide and I think my A high is good here some of the time. CO looks like he's going to fold.

Hero calls

Turn (pot $109): Q♠️8♦️6♣️3♣️

Hero checks

Villain bets $100

Seeing this turn card I planned to x-r almost any bet. When villain bets big I think he is polarized, either has thick value or he is trying to maximize fold equity. I nevertheless stick to my plan.

Hero x-r to $250

V thinks for a bit, asks how much I have behind, and ultimately jams for ~$660 total.

At this point I'm pretty sure I'm behind but after tanking for a while I ask him if he'll run it twice. He says yes, which at first I interpret as strength but then I think why would he even respond if he had a set or an over pair. (Additional factor was how he said it and how quick he responded, just felt like he wasn't nutted).

Ultimately because of this I level myself into calling and he turns over T♥️9♥️ for the open-ended straight draw. I'm stunned to see that I'm actually ahead. He's somewhat pissed saying "how could you even call."

We run it twice.

First river J♥️

Second river J♠️

Villain scoops.

On the bright side, the very next hand I picked up TT, 3bet jammed for my last $140, got two callers and tripled up... lol.

So I live in queens NY. There are no legal poker rooms here yet.

If I want to play poker I have to drive for 2 hours to the nearest casino and pay tolls. I recently become a winning player so I want to play more but driving every time just kills my whole day.

Another option is to play in underground clubs and they are very well run BUT the rake is insane 10% with a 20 cap in most places for 1/3. They do have straddles so it plays like 1/3/5 or 1/3/10 sometimes.

there is plenty of fish. But I’m not sure if the rake is just too high to bother playing

What do you think?

MTT At 10k/20k blinds

Hero JTo 150k behind

Villain 66o 400k behind

I’m UTG and raise to 45k, villain ships all in, folds to me and I call off

Board is 883 rainbow

Turn 2

River 2

I flip over J high assuming I lost and all other players in the hand say that I won with 2 pair J kicker. Is this correct? I feel that villain had a better 2 pair with 66 and 88 3 kicker.

I was rewarded the pot quickly and next hand started seconds later.

what the title says-I've been looking for local games ever since COVID killed the tournaments they used to have at hooter's. those games used to have 40+ people every night, so I know there are other poker players in the area. I've heard rumors of games at certain places but I can never pin down a location. if anyone knows where to look, please DM me and let me know. or, if enough people are also looking for somewhere to play, I may look into trying to get my own game going

Hi. I’m looking to play some Stud or mixed games online, microstakes. Do you know any place?

Phenom only has higher stakes

Been learning the game these last few weeks because it seems like its getting more popular than regular Omaha8. $1/$2 PL game

Starting hand was AKK3X with the K3 of spades. I raise preflop in early position and get 2 callers. Flop come K57 with the 57 of spades. I bet, next person to act raises, other person folds. I reraise all in and get scooped by A2 of spades. Should I have just called the flop an reevaluated the turn?

Kind of a random question but does anybody here play at Genting Casino (used to be Aspers) in Stratford (or any other UK location)?

You can top up your Genting account with "e-cash" on their app, does anybody know if you can also use this in the poker room? I haven't got a physical card to withdraw money until next week and wanted to maybe play the British Poker Series tomorrow.

thanks.

NL2 6 Max 90bb effective stack (hero).

Villain has 90% VPIP and is very aggressive, with almost 100% cbet and also frequently overbets river.

UTG (villain) opens 5bb (in the last 100 hands he either limped or opened 2bb)

BB (Hero) raises to 12bb with QsQh

Flop is 9c8d6s (24.5bb pot)

Hero bets pot 24.5bb, villain min raises to 49bb and hero calls

Turn is 9c8d6s5s (122.5bb pot)

Hero checks and villain jams. Hero calls for his remaining 29.5bb.

River is 9c8d6s5s2h (181.5bb pot)

Villain shows 2s7s and takes the pot.

I really wasn't expecting this. I think with how he played pre flop it was very likely a middle pair or KQs. He probably jams pre to my raise AA, KK, JJ, QQ, AK, AQ. I also should have probably jammed on the flop after his raise, but I was really surprised by his play.

I used to only play online, took a small break(1yr), and started playing at a local place that offers some tourneys but the cash games are limited so it's usually 3-20 spread holdem that I play(I hate Omaha lol)

basically what I'm asking is would playing NLHE online be that much of a difference than LHE live other than the fact that it seems much softer live? would I still get the benefit of seeing a high rate of hands online, even if it's a completely different betting strategy?

Hi guys had a really interesting spot yesterday in the micros online playing 0.10/0.20.

6Max 100BB effective.

Preflop

- I open from MP to 2.5BB with Ac, As

- CO calls, Button calls, SB calls, BB calls.

5 ways to the flop

(12.5BB pot)

Flop

Q, 10, 4 all clubs

- SB checks, BB checks, I Check

- CO bets 6.4BB

- Button raises to 12.8BB

- SB and BB fold

- I go all in

- CO folds

- Button calls and shows Jc, 9d

Run out comes Qh, Qd

Interested to hear what you guys think, I think in hindsight this is a pretty bad all-in considering that I am taking my medium strength hand (AA with a nut flush draw) and turning it into a bluff.

Would it be better if I just flat the raise from the button here? At the time I was concerned by the CO potentially going All-in behind my flat putting me in a tough spot if the button called.

Did I get lucky that the button over called in this spot?