ridiculous punt-turned-hero-call-turned-bad-beat in ~$1500 pot in 1/3
somewhat embarrassed to post this but it was such a rollercoaster hand I don't care if y'all flame me
1/3 semi-private game, 6-handed, ~$750 effective, $5 straddle is on
BU (villain & effective stack) opens to $15
SB calls
Hero in straddle calls with A♣️4♣️
Flop (pot is $49): Q♠️8♦️6♣️
checks to BU who bets $30
My read on him is he is a theory-oriented player who focuses on ranges more than his own cards. His BU opening range is wide and I think my A high is good here some of the time. CO looks like he's going to fold.
Hero calls
Turn (pot $109): Q♠️8♦️6♣️3♣️
Hero checks
Villain bets $100
Seeing this turn card I planned to x-r almost any bet. When villain bets big I think he is polarized, either has thick value or he is trying to maximize fold equity. I nevertheless stick to my plan.
Hero x-r to $250
V thinks for a bit, asks how much I have behind, and ultimately jams for ~$660 total.
At this point I'm pretty sure I'm behind but after tanking for a while I ask him if he'll run it twice. He says yes, which at first I interpret as strength but then I think why would he even respond if he had a set or an over pair. (Additional factor was how he said it and how quick he responded, just felt like he wasn't nutted).
Ultimately because of this I level myself into calling and he turns over T♥️9♥️ for the open-ended straight draw. I'm stunned to see that I'm actually ahead. He's somewhat pissed saying "how could you even call."
We run it twice.
First river J♥️
Second river J♠️
Villain scoops.
On the bright side, the very next hand I picked up TT, 3bet jammed for my last $140, got two callers and tripled up... lol.