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r/fivethirtyeight

Trump's net approval rating is below where Biden was and where Trump 1 was at the same point in their terms
🔥 Hot ▲ 188 r/fivethirtyeight

Trump's net approval rating is below where Biden was and where Trump 1 was at the same point in their terms

Source: https://www.economist.com/interactive/trump-approval-tracker

I feel like the white house doesn't have enough of a grip of how bad things are from a polling POV and unless they can pull a rabbit out of the hat, it will likely lead to democrat victories in 2026 and 2028. For reference, both Biden and Trump 1 ended up losing the house in their midterm elections

u/MakeACreation — 6 hours ago
🔥 Hot ▲ 55 r/fivethirtyeight

What will be the floor for Trump and when will he hit it? How much can he realistically recover before Midterms?

So he is hitting all time lows. When will he hit a floor? How much can he realistically recover prior to Midterms? Do you think more Republicans aside from Tillis start pushing back?

reddit.com
u/drtywater — 6 hours ago
[CNN/SSRS] (3/26-3/30) Democrats lead the GCB 48-42 (+6). Democratic voters are more motivated to vote, 57-38 (+19). Among double haters, people who hate both parties, Democrats have a commanding lead of 55-24 (+31). Party favorability rating: Democrats 28%, Republicans 32%
🔥 Hot ▲ 133 r/fivethirtyeight

[CNN/SSRS] (3/26-3/30) Democrats lead the GCB 48-42 (+6). Democratic voters are more motivated to vote, 57-38 (+19). Among double haters, people who hate both parties, Democrats have a commanding lead of 55-24 (+31). Party favorability rating: Democrats 28%, Republicans 32%

cnn.com
u/Delmer9713 — 12 hours ago
▲ 47 r/fivethirtyeight

[St. Pete Polls] (3/30-3/31) Palm Beach County, Florida: David Jolly (D) leads 49-40 against Byron Donalds in the Governor race. Alex Vindman (D) leads 46-42 against Ashley Moody (R) in the U.S. Senate race. Trump’s approval: 38-56 (-18). For reference, Harris won Palm Beach by 0.76% in 2024.

stpetepolls.org
u/Delmer9713 — 7 hours ago
New WaPo/Schar Poll: VA Redistricting Referendum LEdas by 9 Pts (54%-44%) Among Registered Voters, 5 Pts (52%-47%) Among Likely Voters; Dems support it 91%-7%; Rs oppose it 89%-10%
🔥 Hot ▲ 96 r/fivethirtyeight

New WaPo/Schar Poll: VA Redistricting Referendum LEdas by 9 Pts (54%-44%) Among Registered Voters, 5 Pts (52%-47%) Among Likely Voters; Dems support it 91%-7%; Rs oppose it 89%-10%

u/icey_sawg0034 — 16 hours ago
Week