
GPT-5.5 dropping on April 23?
Was browsing polymarkets and saw that the odds of GPT-5.5 dropping on April 23 are at 80%
At the same time, there were no announcements and not even any hints
You’d probably think it's insiders, I thought the same and went to research the holders
After looking into it, I'm sure there's nothing like that here and started searching for other patterns. It all turned out to be much simpler than you might think
Historically, OpenAI releases models on Thursdays more often than on other days. That’s why:
April 23 - 80%
April 30 - 5.5%
Top holders are definitely not insiders because they were also buying the April 16 release and ended up wrong
Personally, I’m not entering at these prices