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u/socoolandawesome

▲ 383 r/singularity

Demis Hassabis at Google I/O: "Artificial General Intelligence is just a few years away"

Demis’ timeline on AGI has been shrinking and shrinking lately. I believe he would consistently say 5-10 years away the past year or 2. Then he switched to saying only 5 years in an interview this year I believe, and now he just said “just a few years”.

He also had another cool quote at the end: “When we look back at this time I think we will realize that we were standing in the foothills of the singularity”

Demis has been notoriously conservative, so when he says this, he must be pretty confident it’s coming soon.

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u/socoolandawesome — 11 hours ago
▲ 2.0k r/UPSers+2 crossposts

Boston Dynamics shows off Atlas robot carrying a fridge

u/Ok_Buyer310 — 1 day ago
▲ 449 r/singularity

Is Dario AGI-pilled/ASI-pilled or not?

As the article notes, this is a shift in his rhetoric where he’s now talking about Jevon’s paradox and it’s possible there’d be more jobs because of AI.

If he really believes in AGI and ASI being on the horizon, then there’s no way he can believe that. The article suggests either he genuinely has changed his views on jobs or maybe it is because he doesn’t want to get more onto trump’s bad sign with potential regulation looming:

“Either he has genuinely updated his view based on new evidence, or the social and political cost of the bloodbath framing — particularly as Anthropic navigates a Pentagon lawsuit and a fraught regulatory environment — has made it more useful to suddenly sound a bit more optimistic.”

Again more jobs just seems completely incompatible with his beliefs about the AI he describes in Machines of Loving Grace (Nobel prize winning, can do anything on a computer, etc.)

So why the change?

u/socoolandawesome — 14 days ago