Same rules as 9sig, but underlaying ETF is QQQ5 instead of TQQQ and you target 15% growth, instead of 9%.
And it has insane gains compared to just buying and holding (either TQQQ or QQQ5), with 54.9% CAGR over last 16 years (mostly bull market)
The catch is that you'd have 99.5% drawdown in 2008 (yikes) and you'd have been wiped out in 2000-2002.
Compared to DCA, this one is more dependent on market trend. If you stomached the big bubble crash (like dot com), you might not achieve the target at all, and you even might still be at loss 25 years later, but if you happen to be in aggressive bull market period, then your chances of reaching a million earlier are significantly better than that with of DCA.
Average - 7-8 years.
Best - 2 years (2 years before dot com crash).
Worst - 29 years and counting (invested during the peak of dot com bubble).
Another interesting simulation I run on synthetic TQQQ data, going back to 1938.
If you were investing 1k monthly, on average you would need 11-12 years to reach one million by buying and holding TQQQ.
Best - 4 years (just before dot com bubble).
Worst - 18 years (just after dot com bubble).
In the future if we see it to come down to 6-7 years, I think that's when we will know we are nearing to the big crash
Here is a comprehensive visual Heatmap you will ever need when you have a question about long term tqqq
It shows, if you have invested 1000$, how much you'd have on each year (first column) after certain years of holding (first row)
Notice the lasting effect 1974, 2001, 2008 had
You would still be at loss in 2026 if you have invested 27 years ago
Update:
There were multiple remarks, addressing them here:
I've integrated Dewalt box with 4500lb winch and made an adapter for it to run on dewalt batteries.
In the back it has a hitch connector, so it acts as a truly portable winch which I csn take anywhere.
What do you think of it?
