u/Man_Random87

What impact will have the World Cup on summer box office?

What impact will have the World Cup on summer box office?

One thing I haven't really seen discussed on the sub is what the potential impact of the World Cup in summer. The only major summer movie coming out after the World Cup is Brand New Day, and the World Cup ends on the same weekend when Odyssey comes out.

Moana, Toy Story, and Minions could see their international numbers be a lot less than in normal circunstances, and if any movie is released on the day of a major match, it could be significantly affected

What’s your take on this?

u/Man_Random87 — 3 days ago

Talking about Disney and Pixar is an interesting case; they’re probably the group that people online tend to criticize the most when it comes to creating unoriginal content, from live-action remakes to cinematic universes.

But if you look at the lists of upcoming movie releases, you quickly realize that’s not entirely true.

This year alone, Disney are releasing 16 narrative films, 7 of which are originals.

Meanwhile, Universal are releasing 14 films, with 6 being originals, and Warner Bros will release 15, 4 of which are originals

And in the animation department, it’s even worse: Universal has released only 4 original films and will release its fifth this year, while Warner Bros. hasn’t released any at all. Meanwhile, Disney has released 9 and will release its 10th original animated film of the decade this year

The reason this happens is very simple: Disney is by far the largest media studio, and the sheer number of franchises they have leads people to feel that they’re only releasing non-original content. And before anyone comes to comment on quality, neither Encanto, Soul, nor even Elemental can be considered flops—they definitely made an impact. In fact, Elemental and Hoppers are the highest-grossing original films of the 2020s, and they’re doing well in the awards circuit too. They have the Searchlight films, and Pixar’s originals are still going strong in that aspect.

I’d love for them to produce more original content—of course I would—but honestly, I think it’s pretty weird how some people seem to have this idea that original content has come to a ends. New things are always being created, and even at other companies like Warner, they allow that to happen. But adaptations have always been made—heck, only two Best Picture winners this decade have been original films.

reddit.com
u/Man_Random87 — 8 days ago
▲ 466 r/boxoffice

> The data reveals that Gen Z is 13% more likely to attend opening weekend than older groups

> 71% of participants reported they no longer buy physical music and 70% said they don’t buy physical copies of TV series and movies, reflecting a major shift to the access economy.

u/Man_Random87 — 8 days ago

There have been several of these, but with the start of summer, I feel justified in sharing some of my ideas

  1. Avengers: Doomsday: The most obvious choice. If it turns out to be good, with all the hype, the actors’ support, and the re-release of Endgame, I think 1.7 billion is possible

  2. Brand New Day, the gem of the summer—with August wide open and the greatest trailer of all time—I see 1.4 billion

  3. Toy Story 5: I think this will be the highest-grossing animated film of the year; Mario’s decline has really made me think that. I estimate 1.2 billion

  4. Super Mario Galaxy: Originally the one I thought would be number 3, I think it will reach $1 billion, but even with that, I feel it will be the only movie to come even close: $980 million–$1 billion

  5. Moana: The global hit remake and the second-strongest film of the summer, Moana is super popular, and combined with the excitement of the younger generation, I think it will reach at least $950 million, similar to the remake of The Jungle Book

From here on out, I’m not as confident, but my predictions are:

  1. Odyssey: $910 million

  2. Michael: There are still territories where it hasn’t been released yet, and aside from the fact that it’s doing exceptionally well domestically and worldwide, I estimate $800 million

  3. Minions and Monsters: $770 million

  4. Dune Part 3: $750 million

  5. The Devil Wears Prada 2: $690–700 million

Possible candidates: Jumanji, Project Hail Mary, Pegasus 3

reddit.com
u/Man_Random87 — 9 days ago