3 Mega-IPOs Could Dump $3 Trillion in Overvalued Tech Onto Public Markets
Source: https://beincrypto.com/spacex-openai-anthropic-ipo-wave/
SpaceX ($1.75T), OpenAI (~$1T), and Anthropic (~$380B) are all targeting listings within months of each other, a combined $3 trillion hitting public markets in a single cycle.
The structural problem: at standard 15% float, these three would need to raise $432-576 billion from public markets in one quarter. The entire US IPO market raised $469 billion across all of 2016-2025 combined.
OpenAI is projected to lose $14 billion in 2026 alone and isn't expected to break even until 2029-2030. Its own CFO has reportedly warned colleagues the company isn't ready to go public. SpaceX filed first and will absorb the most liquidity whoever follows faces less capital and more scrutiny. The real question isn't whether these are great companies. It's whether retail investors are getting a fair entry price or serving as exit liquidity for VCs and early backers.