r/TheVisualInvestors

I never had a clear goal like this. I just started with €150K, kept things simple, and let time do most of the work. Only recently did I realize how much it had grown.

One thing that made a big difference: I kept investing regularly, even when the market felt uncomfortable. That consistency mattered more than timing anything.

At this point, the real question became: when do you sell something like this?

Samsung is trading at around 5x earnings… which feels kind of crazy for a company this big.

But I’m trying to understand what the market is seeing here.

Is it just the chip cycle dragging earnings down?
Or is something structurally broken in the business?
Are margins going to stay under pressure longer than expected?

Also! If in 1985 you started contributing into a low cost S&P500 index fund, this April is when you'd reach 4 million!

Recent outperformers in this vein include a handful of cyclical industries like industrials and materials that have also enjoyed tailwinds from an improving economic growth backdrop. GS forecasts for above-trend economic growth have lent fundamental support to cyclicals’ recent strength, and we entered 2026 recommending investors own many of these stocks.

According to Bloomberg, Iran says the Strait of Hormuz is “completely open” for commercial traffic, following a ceasefire agreement linked to rising tensions between the US, Israel, and Lebanon.

Time to sell energies stocks and buy industrials?

Reason? Founder Reed Hastings is stepping down from the board.

time to buy?

Micron could be more profitable than Amazon and Meta by 2027.

Yes ahead of AWS and Meta ads!!!

Driven by AI memory demand, supply constraints, and pricing power.

But we’ve seen memory cycles before…
Is this time different?

Nike CEO bought $1M in stock and the Director did the same!

Historically, when executives buy their own shares, it often points to perceived undervaluation.

But with slowing growth and margin pressure…
is this a real opportunity or a value trap? Do you buy NIKE today?

Earnings season is where the real moves happen!

This week is mostly banks + a few big names that can actually move the market.

Earnings this week:

Tuesday:
JPM, JNJ, Citi, Wells Fargo

Wednesday:
Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, ASML

Thursday:
Netflix, TSM, Pepsi

Friday:
Ally, State Street, Truist

Banks will set the tone (credit, consumer strength, deposits).
ASML + TSM => real read on AI demand.
Netflix => always volatile.

Who’s beating and actually moving?
Undervalued names, obvious beats, or contrarian calls?

Drop it!

ASML reports €8.8 billion total net sales and €2.8 billion net income in Q1 2026 ASML now expects 2026 total net sales to be between €36 billion and €40 billion, with a gross margin between 51% and 53%

$ASML Q1 FY26:

• Revenue +13% Y/Y to €8.8B (slight beat)
• Gross margin at 53% (slightly down Y/Y)
• Operating margin 36% (up Y/Y)
• EPS €7.15 (solid beat)
• FY26 revenue guidance raised to ~€38B (+€1.5B)

ASML seeing stronger demand ahead.

If this holds, it likely flows through the whole AI semiconductor stack $TSM, Samsung, and $NVDA.

Is this a Bullish signal for TSMC, Samsung, NVDA? any others stocks in mind?

I’ve been looking at software stocks through the Rule of 40 lens (growth + profitability combined).

Quick breakdown of where some names stand:

Unicorn (60%+)
$PLTR, $APP

Elite (50–59%)
$NOW, $CRWD, $PANW, $SNOW

Great (40–49%)
$ADBE, $ZS, $DDOG, $TEAM, $CRM, $RBRK, $NET, $SHOP, $MNDY

Good (30–39%)
$HUBS, $MDB, $PATH, $FIG, $ZETA

What I find interesting is:

• which companies are moving up/down tiers
• which ones are priced like “Unicorns” but aren’t
• and which are quietly improving fundamentals

The Rule of 40 isn’t perfect, but it’s one of the simplest ways to filter quality vs hype in SaaS.

Which one would you buy?

I went through the S&P 500 YTD winners and losers list, and the biggest pattern looks pretty AI-driven to me.

A lot of the winners are in storage, optics, semis, cooling, and power infrastructure, basically the parts of the market benefiting when AI spending turns into real hardware buildout.

At the same time, some software and premium growth names are lagging. So to me, this does not really look like “tech is weak.” It looks more like AI infrastructure winners are outperforming, while parts of SaaS are now having to prove they still have pricing power.

What do you all think the best and worst industries will be in 2026? Would love to hear more views here.

the recent filing from March 25, 2026:

• Security: Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) call options
• Transaction: Purchase (not sale)
• Amount: $500,001 – $1,000,000
• Strike / Expiry: $320 strike, expires June 18, 2026
• Disclosure: Filed April 8, 2026

Is this a bullish signal on MSFT ahead of the next quarter or just a speculative options play?

Today Anthropic announces Project Glasswing: an initiative with AWS, Microsoft, Google, Apple, NVIDIA, Cisco, CrowdStrike, Palo Alto Networks, JPMorgan, and others to secure critical software using its new frontier model Claude Mythos Preview.

The model reportedly has advanced enough coding ability to find and exploit vulnerabilities at a level beyond most human engineers, having already identified thousands of high-severity flaws across major operating systems and browsers.

As these capabilities scale, they may not remain limited to defensive actors. The goal of Project Glasswing is to redirect this capability toward cybersecurity defense before offensive use catches up.

Partners will deploy the model to scan and secure infrastructure, including open-source systems, with Anthropic committing $100M in usage credits and additional funding for security orgs.

AI-driven vulnerability discovery is accelerating fast and the industry is now racing to stay ahead of it.

DO you trust this info?

TRUMP'S INSIDER JUST OPENED $30M OIL LONG AHEAD OF TONIGHT’S ANNOUNCEMENT.

LAST TIME HE DID THIS HE MADE $10M IN 60 MINUTES.

SOMETHING HUGE IS ABOUT TO HIT MARKETS.

$NVDA is now trading at ~21x forward earnings.

That’s cheaper than the S&P 500.

Meanwhile:

• $AAPL → ~30x forward P/E
. GOOGL→ 25X forward PE
• $NVDA → ~21x forward P/E

Let that sink in.

The company at the center of the AI boom is now priced like a market average stock.

Either:

1. The market thinks Nvidia’s growth is about to slow hard or
2. This is one of the most obvious valuation disconnects right now