r/FuturesTrading

Market bias. How the opening price determines who controls the market.

Market bias. How the opening price determines who controls the market.

Hello Traders,

There are countless complicated ways people try to define market bias — liquidity, fair value gaps, order blocks, and everything in between.

But one of the simplest and most effective ways to understand who is in control is the opening price.

The open is the starting point of the auction. From there, price reveals which side is in control.

If the market continues to trade below the daily open, sellers are in control of that session.

If the market continues to trade above the weekly open, buyers are in control of that timeframe.

The best trades usually come when these opening prices align.

When price is above the daily open and above the weekly open, the market is often positioned for expansion higher.

When price is below both, the path of least resistance is often lower.

When those timeframes are not aligned, the market tends to become far less clean. That is where you often see chop, rotation, and false moves.

The opening price is not just another line on the chart.

It is one of the clearest references for market control.

I have attached three images for you to study how price reacts relative to the opening price levels.

Trade wisely

https://preview.redd.it/fw8ugaiav8tg1.png?width=3010&format=png&auto=webp&s=612f5eca303ff5302624f665a728baceb08e1d31

https://preview.redd.it/m29l4aiav8tg1.png?width=3010&format=png&auto=webp&s=a5faa32eed0161b4d43675cbea78502f382358cc

https://preview.redd.it/x3kyr9iav8tg1.png?width=3010&format=png&auto=webp&s=945bcd7777bc8e1c36695503ba72394bcadc336e

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u/SmartMoneySniper — 15 hours ago

i move my stop to break even and tell myself its discipline. its not.

i move the stop to break even and tell myself im being disciplined.

im not. im just hoping from a safer distance.

the position plays out the same way it always does.

has anyone actually fixed this or does it just get more sophisticated?

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u/Tight-North-6157 — 17 hours ago

testudo

I built a browser extension that sizes and places trades from TradingView web version.

Got sick of calculating position sizes manually. So I built this.

You draw your entry and stop on tradingview's position tool, hit Alt+X, and it places the trade on your exchange with correct sizing based on your risk %.

Supports hyperliquid, binance, bybit, WOO. There's a dashboard that tracks your trades too with an equity curve, win rate etc.

Called it Testudo after the roman formation because I like roman history

Give it a go and tell me whats good and whats not!

https://testudo.vip

Firefox is live, still waiting for chrome

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u/AdministrativeFile78 — 3 hours ago

Trading futures options in TastyTrade with small account

Can someone with a smaller account, say $5,000, open a long call/long put on ES or are they restricted to microES options? Need help understanding what the policy is. The language on the website isn't clear to me.

Is the guidance the same regardless of brokerage? A small account at Interactive Brokers would be restricted in the same way as at Tasty?

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u/ciscosista — 6 hours ago

Need assistance

I'm new to this compared to stocks/ETFs and options, I recently learned about futures and found it fits my trading style more (can easily short, geopol macro moves on oil, gold,indices, etc.) I didnot know about the tax benefits before either.

I managed to get a live account on etrade as I already had a large brokerage account with them. I watched the NQ 1M chart on etrade pro for a couple of days and started to take scalps on one or two contracts. First couple of days were ok, mostly sat on my hands and watched the chart as I missed big moves like the trump speech and reversal next morning on open. I then took a couple more scalps and got lucky on a huge green candle and made 2000. I felt so happy and was just gonna watch the tape for the rest of the day.

Then an hour later or so I went to do another -2 contract scalp and looked at my holdings and saw I now had -4 contracts open and I was in the red on my position big time. I freaked out and closed it all at a loss wiping my earlier gains. I looked at the order details and found that earlier position got opened 10 minutes earlier to my scalp I don't know how it opened or maybe I misclicked on the DOM ladder. Needless to say I tilted badly started trying riskier trades and exiting quickly and ended the day with a loss of maybe 1500. I'll add I was mostly doing market buys/sells on these without limits or stop losses due to speed of the moves.

Over the last couple of days I started to learn more about this i'm now realizing the risk of mini size vs micro, NQ vs ES, etc. Also i'm learning most people don't trade their own money on this and I feel like an idiot. Should i move to prop firms? and since i only used etrade pro which I realize now screwed me on execution and comissions. What platform should i be using tradeovate , Ninjatrader, etc? or should I just quit futures?

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u/makaroon420 — 10 hours ago
Week