u/judechrist4444

Let’s get real.

I mean let’s get real about this subred.

Anyone with a portfolio of $1M+ will unlikely be trading on single name stocks.

Look, I’m sure there are folks who have done what the subred founder did, but most retail investors with that much capital is risk averse.

Really the “race” is to $1M and then start improving your source of income to hit $10M net worth.

Don’t be delusional and lose all your capital on single stocks.

reddit.com
u/judechrist4444 — 8 hours ago
▲ 63 r/bipolar

Cannabis is NOT safe if you have BPD.

I have BP1 with psychotic features and have tried many strains from sativa to indica to hybrid.

I am also coming out of akathisia and cannabis has retriggered it.

In short, if you have bipolar, cannabis will make your situation worse - the relief is temporary.

reddit.com
u/judechrist4444 — 1 day ago

Are you ready for the SpaceX IPO?

An astute Musk fanboy would liquidate their entire portfolio over the coming weeks and dump it all into the IPO.

u/judechrist4444 — 4 days ago

How is Bitcoin a credible investment now?

When stocks crash, it crashes harder.

When stocks rip, it barely moves.

All these bullish predictions are from bagholders.

The early investors have ditched it and moved on.

Also what value does bitcoin really have?

Decentralized digital currency? BS.

reddit.com
u/judechrist4444 — 6 days ago

Something about $NBIS doesn't feel right.

I get they're dominating the GPU cloud provider space, but my gut says their services are a commodity and hyperscalers prefer to own the hardware themselves (a vertical stack).

Not rely on hardware managed by a Russian - am I wrong here?

reddit.com
u/judechrist4444 — 7 days ago

Elon Musk and his Space-Based Datacenters are sham.

Convince me otherwise.

  1. To launch all of these SBDCs, you're polluting the LEO (low earth orbit) with rectangular garbage that is prone for catastrophic failure upon each minor collisions with debris.

  2. Silicon chips do not like outer space so unless you shield it, most of these GPUs will be nonfunctional in a few years.

  3. The cost of launching these SBDCs become highly prohibitive vs exploring land-based options.

  4. +Many more engineering challenges that make the entire project a fantasy rather than reality.

Look, I'll be direct.

Musk is using SBDCs to hype up SpaceX (to make an a AI-aligned play) ahead of his IPO.

Am I missing something here?

reddit.com
u/judechrist4444 — 7 days ago

Why is $TSLA worth $1.4T?

I am having a hard time understanding how broken promises on FSD (full self driving) for the past decade warrants a 400 P/E.

Real question for Musk investors - what do you see in $TSLA and for the matter Musk himself?

reddit.com
u/judechrist4444 — 7 days ago
▲ 109 r/options

Options are HARD (you’re just overconfident)

Convince me otherwise.

  1. Not only do you need to get the right direction, you better get the timing right.

Miss the time by a week? you’re screwed.

  1. Unless the price moves in your favor everyday, you’re also screwed due to theta decay.

  2. So you got the right price direction and timed it well, well it doesn’t matter if implied vol moves against you.

This happens all the time and earnings IV crush hits every quarter.

  1. Thinking about exiting a losing position? Well you’re also screwed trying to sell it to MMs who will fleece you.

Am I missing anything else?

reddit.com
u/judechrist4444 — 9 days ago

Kalshi and Polymarket is Insider Galore.

I had this naive idea that these prediction markets opened up a new assert class for saying the Fed FOMC outcomes.

Boy am I wrong.

These markets are so ripe for insider info (what checks can they possibly do to prevent it).

And with Trump’s affinity for gambling, I doubt the CFTC will introduce much regulation in these markets.

My perhaps misguided view?

Don’t trade unless you have insider info or can somehow predict the future (at least in a real casino you can get comped).

reddit.com
u/judechrist4444 — 10 days ago

Biggest risk to memory trade is China.

The parabolic moves in memory names appear to be the market pricing in the critical bottleneck of memory for LLM training and inferencing- both for HBM and NAND (long-term storage for RAG).

I believe this trade still has much room to grow until we get some real clarity on the Epstein Files or the Midterms.

Unless China releases another LLM architecture like DeepSeek that rethinks our approach to training and more so inferencing. This is could happen if the CCP wants to pop this memory-driven rally.

$DRAM is my diversified ETF pick while $MU has room to run. $SNDK is an evolving story - I am not fully sold - but it is critical to expand your memory footprint with an LLM, then it's stil has legroom.

If NAND proves not large enough to enable the RAG memory storage, then we inevitably have to move to HDD names like $STX and $WDC. This is the UBER carshare path.

reddit.com
u/judechrist4444 — 10 days ago

$AMD will be the next trillion market cap.

It has become clear that $NVDA doesn’t have as much of a moat with their CUDA platform.

It has also become clear the AMD ROCm development platform is sufficient for AI developers - especially with the rapid adoption of vibe coding.

With AI sovereignty and the importance of an open platform being critical for many hyperscalers, I don’t see much headwind before it hits a trillion in market cap.

reddit.com
u/judechrist4444 — 11 days ago

Anyone own DRAM ETF for memory exposure?

https://preview.redd.it/2m2mjj0srxzg1.png?width=1161&format=png&auto=webp&s=14a386db9fbe43e15a366c4b03bd519ba59d4462

First, it doesn't appear to be hedged to the the Korean won.

But I like the top 3 exposures being SK Hynix, Micron and Samsung (75%).

Anyone has a take on how much more runway we have on this memory trade (HBM NAND)?

Seems like if you want to get memory exposure, this is the smart way to do it at this late in the cycle.

reddit.com
u/judechrist4444 — 12 days ago