u/drkelemnt

Community Consensus on 24 Player Comparisons: The Results

Hello all.

Some of you may have read my recent Man vs. Machine series, where I compared players with similar expected 2026 ADPs against each other, and looked at which one I’d choose, which one the computer would choose, and which one the community preferred in each matchup, should both be available when drafting.

Across the 4 articles, and 24 comparisons, the polls drew 5011 total votes. Despite the community voters siding with my choices more often than the computer, it wasn't exactly a runaway victory:

  • Community sided with my pick 9 times
  • Community sided with computer pick 7 times
  • There were also 8 occasions where both me and the Computer selected the same player
    • 7/8 of those the Community sided with me and the Computer. The only matchup where the community went against both was Ashton Jeanty vs De'Von Achane.

Bracket recap

Bracket Polls Total votes Agreed w/ me* Agreed w/ Computer*
Photo Finishes (50-52%) 2 504 2 1
Solid Leans (53-59%) 10 2,145 5 6
Clear Favorites (60-69%) 11 2,131 8 6
Full Smash (70%+) 1 231 1 1
Total 24 5,011 16 14

*Agreed-with totals include the “Both” results.

Photo Finishes (50-52%)

Community result Total votes Jake (me) Computer Community aligned with
51% prefer Brock Bowers over Trey McBride 321 Bowers McBride Jake only
52% prefer Javonte Williams over Josh Jacobs 183 Williams Williams Both

To the surprise of no-one, the Bowers vs. McBride matchup was definitely the closest vote. Not only did it have the most votes but it was also decided by the smallest margin. Up until very recently this was essentially gridlocked at a 50% split but a few late Bowers votes give him the slender victory. Javonte also narrowly got the nod ahead of Jacobs, with the community siding with me on both of these comparisons.

Solid Leans (53-59%)

Community result Total votes Jake Computer Community aligned with
53% prefer Amon-Ra St. Brown over Malik Nabers 184 Nabers St. Brown Computer only
53% prefer Romeo Doubs over Parker Washington 173 Doubs Washington Jake only
54% prefer Zay Flowers over Marvin Harrison Jr. 216 Harrison Jr. Flowers Computer only
54% prefer Ashton Jeanty over De'Von Achane 235 Achane Achane Neither
55% prefer Sam LaPorta over Oronde Gadsden II 245 LaPorta Gadsden Jake only
56% prefer George Pickens over Emeka Egbuka 239 Egbuka Pickens Computer only
57% prefer Jaylen Waddle over Jameson Williams 128 Waddle Waddle Both
58% prefer Ladd McConkey over Rashee Rice 144 McConkey McConkey Both
58% prefer Kyle Pitts over Isaiah Likely 255 Likely Pitts Computer only
59% prefer Tucker Kraft over Harold Fannin Jr. 326 Kraft Fannin Jr. Jake only

Nabers vs. ARSB matchup was the most volatile. Nabers led the way for some time but Sun God pulled away in the end. In truth, you wouldn't go too far wrong with either of them. The one that personally surprised me the most in this grouping is Achane Vs Jeanty. I'm all in on Achane as a fantasy asset, even with the offense that's around him, but it's clear a lot of people still have faith that Jeanty's ceiling is above his as he won the vote, albeit by a slim margin of 4%. I like Jeanty, and I think the Raiders should be a far better offense in 2026 than this previous season (shouldn't be hard to improve considering how poor it was in 2025) but Achane has been an absolute fantasy work horse since entering the league and his 2025 season, where he didn't have a game under 12 fantasy points, deserves credit imo. The only one on here that I feel deserves an asterisk is the Rice vs McConkey vote. It was one of the first to be listed in the series and a large chunk of the votes came in prior to the news breaking that Rice wouldn’t be facing a suspension from the league. I think had the voting started after that Rice likely would've won the vote but it would still have likely been close regardless.

Clear Favorites (60-69%)

Community result Total votes Jake Computer Community aligned with
61% prefer Drake London over Tet McMillan 171 London McMillan Jake only
61% prefer Jayden Higgins over Matthew Golden 126 Golden Higgins Computer only
61% prefer Kenneth Walker III over Chase Brown 216 Walker III Brown Jake only
62% prefer DJ Moore over Alec Pierce 193 Moore Pierce Jake only
62% prefer Colston Loveland over Tyler Warren 338 Loveland Warren Jake only
62% prefer AJ Barner over Mason Taylor 185 Barner Taylor Jake only
64% prefer Chris Olave over Garrett Wilson 144 Olave Olave Both
65% prefer Quinshon Judkins over TreVeyon Henderson 201 Henderson Judkins Computer only
66% prefer Cam Skattebo over Tyler Allgeier 170 Skattebo Skattebo Both
69% prefer Wan'Dale Robinson over Jakobi Meyers 167 Robinson Robinson Both
69% prefer Breece Hall over Bucky Irving 220 Irving Hall Computer only

Not too many surprises here, though almost 70% siding with Breece over Bucky is not what I expected or how I personally viewed the comparison. This says to me that Bucky is firmly sitting in "buy low" territory, as it isn't like Breece's price is at an all time high right now. 65% taking Judkins over Henderson is also a surprising one to me. Henderson is in the far superior offense, and he flashed enough during his rookie year for me to be relatively bullish on his prospects, though FWIW I think Judkins is going to be fine too.

Full Smash (70%+)

Community result Total votes Jake Computer Community aligned with
71% prefer Justin Jefferson over CeeDee Lamb 231 Jefferson Jefferson Both

I expected Jettas to win this one, though I didn't expect it to be by the widest spread of the bunch. Both are coming off down years (compared to their previous bodies of work) so I guess it makes sense the majority would lean with Jettas. Both look primed to bounce back in 2026 though imo.

It was a fun experiment to run, and thanks to everyone that participated in the voting.

If you enjoyed the voting aspect of the series, we have just released our seasonal update on the site and with it we have opened up Rank, Draft, Trade and Lineup wires that you can nominate, and vote on. A very brief breakdown:

  • Rank Wire
    • Live, community consensus player rankings across various formats and scoring types
    • Dynasty & Redraft, with STD/PPR/HalfPPR base scoring + SF / TEP multipliers
    • Select the format and scoring, and then vote on rolling player comparisons. Each vote cast impacts the involved player scores in that format, and the rankings will move with the consensus
    • The more votes cast = the more stability the rankings will have
  • Draft Wire
    • Set your league format and scoring and then select 2-3 players to be voted on
    • Other users will then vote on which player they would draft out of the selected players
    • You can track votes received live and once the wire closes all users can search through previous wire results
  • Trade Wire
    • Once again, set league format and scoring and then build a trade proposal with 2 or 3 way trades
    • Other users then vote on which side they think wins the trade, or if they perceive it was a "fair trade"
  • Lineup Wire
    • Similar to the above, pick 2-3 players, and other users will vote on who they would Start, and therefore who they would Sit
    • Not really relevant for right now as we are a way off from the season but it's also live for our other sports which are currently in season

All free to use. Unlike the article series where you could vote without registering, you will need to sign up for a free account to utilize the wires. This is simply because it's easier to keep track of votes, monitor abuse, and we also have plans to roll out a community leaderboard at some stage once more votes have been collated.

They've only just been rolled out so it'll take some time for data to start stabilizing but if anyone does want to give the wires a try, you can do so here:

FPTrack.com

To anyone that didn't participate in the voting, do you have any strong leans from the comparisons above? Anyone going against consensus? Curious!

Thanks once again all, have a good one!

u/drkelemnt — 5 days ago