u/SystemsCapital

Hey All,

I've made a couple posts regarding some excels I've been posting to my website including daily forecasts, statistics - including kurtosis and skewness, and daily market cap, and I wanted to give some updates.

I made it so that you can now download the CSV for the day so that you can use it as you want! It gets updated everyday 30 minutes before Market Open.

I also made it so that the tables are sorted by market cap, so even if you don't want to sign up, you can still see the most popular companies like NVDA, GOOG, and others.

Hope this helps people and you can integrate some of the data into your own strategies!

Happy investing.

 

After the recent U.S. visit to China the two countries are at a historically high diplomatic relationship. This marks the first visit to China by a U.S. president since 2017, and after this meeting, it appears that there is some direct, and indirect, impacts to investors. This article talks about what these impacts may/may not be, and it will use both The White House Fact Sheet, and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs People’s Republic of China public announcements.

First I think it’s proper to start off with a little bit of a talk on where each country is coming from, so-to-speak.

The U.S.’s Federal Reserve is under a lot of pressure right now, and getting pulled in multiple directions via inflation fears, economic growth, a new chairman, high interest rates, fears of the US dollar weakening, and a war.

This year in China, Xi noted, marks the start of a new Five-Year Plan for Economic and Social Development. This will be their 15^(th) installment of Five-Year Plans. Concurrently to the talks with the U.S. President in China, representatives from China attended BRICS talks in New Delhi. These talks did not conclude to a joint statement amid differing views regarding the Iran War.

The differences I found between the official announcements on the U.S and China websites should be noted as well. On the U.S. White House site, only one article had been made, and on the Chinese Website, there were three prominent headlines. The U.S.’s publication is bullet-pointed, and explicit in deals discussed. The Chinese articles are more blocks of text focused on the announcements that Xi had made, and they include photos.

 

The two agreed to a Washington visit by President Xi in the fall of 2026. The two countries agree in building a constructive relationship, and that the two countries are better allies than enemies. And two new institutions will be formed to optimize the economic relationship between the U.S. and China: the U.S.-China Board of Trade, and the U.S.-China Board of Investment.

They both agreed in beliefs of a denuclearized Iran and North Korea, and a Strait of Hormuz that is open to trade without tolls.    

 

A package of trade agreements were settled as well. These include 200 American-made Boeing aircraft for airline travel, $17 Billion per year for three years, starting 2026, of U.S. agricultural products in addition to the soybean purchase commitments China made in 2025, renewing of expired permits and lifting of all suspensions of U.S. beef facilities in China, and a resuming of imports of U.S. Poultry into China.

This is all very cut and dry in my eyes. The U.S. is presenting mutually beneficial investment opportunity to China with clear and easy access. Soybean, Beef, and other agricultural futures, companies involved in the export of those goods, and Boeing by name have almost immediate growth opportunities in front of them. Additionally, the U.S.’s interest rate presents an opportunity for China to grow reserves while keeping a lower interest rate and focusing on economic development. If BRICS negotiations begin to dissolve due to differences in viewpoints on the Iran war, this may present an opportunity in the long-run for the U.S. and China to have a mutually beneficial investment agreement that strengthens the U.S.’s currency and bolsters the Chinese economy. Only time will tell how the new chairman of the Fed balances this with U.S. economic growth and inflation pressures.

I’ve left out the discussion on rare earth elements, because I wanted to address them directly. Apart of the agreements, China agreed to address the U.S.’s concern regarding rare earth elements. There was no trade agreement, China didn’t address the concerns, but an agreement to address it at a future date was made. Specifically, rare earth elements discussed include yttrium, scandium, neodymium, and indium. These elements are used in the production of lasers, super strong lightweight alloys, commercially viable magnets, and high-performance screens including LCD’s and Solar Panels, respectively. In my eye, these talks have revealed that those products (laser, alloys, magnets, and screens) have a high demand.  

President Xi stressed that the most important issue between the two countries is Taiwan, and his worry of how the U.S. will even approach the subject has been expressed. Noting that the U.S. must exercise “extra caution” in handling the question.

All in all, it seems unanimous that this recent visit to China was a beneficial one, and a landmark in the diplomatic relationship between the two countries.

 

In Summary:

-U.S.-China relations are at a historically high level of cooperation

-U.S agricultural products and Boeing Aircrafts are bolstered by the recent visit

-Rare Earth Elements, especially the ones involved in the production of lasers, alloys, magnets, and screens, are seen to have an increased demand

-Interest rate environments, economic growth initiatives, and delicate geopolitical situations are the major factors determining future outcomes.

 

For daily market cap, daily return statistics including average, standard deviation, kurtosis, skewness, and other distribution statistics. Monte Carlo projections, exponential smoothing forecasts, and so more data for 500 large-cap US stocks, check out the links in my bio.

Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Secures Historic Deals with China, Delivering for American Workers, Farmers, and Industry – The White House

President Xi Jinping Holds Talks with U.S. President Donald J. Trump_Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China

President Xi Jinping Holds a Private Meeting with U.S. President Donald J. Trump at Zhongnanhai_Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China

President Xi Jinping Holds Welcoming Banquet for U.S. President Donald J. Trump_Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China

After the recent U.S. visit to China the two countries are at a historically high diplomatic relationship. This marks the first visit to China by a U.S. president since 2017, and after this meeting, it appears that there is some direct, and indirect, impacts to investors. This article talks about what these impacts may/may not be, and it will use both The White House Fact Sheet, and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs People’s Republic of China public announcements.

First I think it’s proper to start off with a little bit of a talk on where each country is coming from, so-to-speak.

The U.S.’s Federal Reserve is under a lot of pressure right now, and getting pulled in multiple directions via inflation fears, economic growth, a new chairman, high interest rates, fears of the US dollar weakening, and a war.

This year in China, Xi noted, marks the start of a new Five-Year Plan for Economic and Social Development. This will be their 15^(th) installment of Five-Year Plans. Concurrently to the talks with the U.S. President in China, representatives from China attended BRICS talks in New Delhi. These talks did not conclude to a joint statement amid differing views regarding the Iran War.

The differences I found between the official announcements on the U.S and China websites should be noted as well. On the U.S. White House site, only one article had been made, and on the Chinese Website, there were three prominent headlines. The U.S.’s publication is bullet-pointed, and explicit in deals discussed. The Chinese articles are more blocks of text focused on the announcements that Xi had made, and they include photos.

 

The two agreed to a Washington visit by President Xi in the fall of 2026. The two countries agree in building a constructive relationship, and that the two countries are better allies than enemies. And two new institutions will be formed to optimize the economic relationship between the U.S. and China: the U.S.-China Board of Trade, and the U.S.-China Board of Investment.

They both agreed in beliefs of a denuclearized Iran and North Korea, and a Strait of Hormuz that is open to trade without tolls.    

 

A package of trade agreements were settled as well. These include 200 American-made Boeing aircraft for airline travel, $17 Billion per year for three years, starting 2026, of U.S. agricultural products in addition to the soybean purchase commitments China made in 2025, renewing of expired permits and lifting of all suspensions of U.S. beef facilities in China, and a resuming of imports of U.S. Poultry into China.

This is all very cut and dry in my eyes. The U.S. is presenting mutually beneficial investment opportunity to China with clear and easy access. Soybean, Beef, and other agricultural futures, companies involved in the export of those goods, and Boeing by name have almost immediate growth opportunities in front of them. Additionally, the U.S.’s interest rate presents an opportunity for China to grow reserves while keeping a lower interest rate and focusing on economic development. If BRICS negotiations begin to dissolve due to differences in viewpoints on the Iran war, this may present an opportunity in the long-run for the U.S. and China to have a mutually beneficial investment agreement that strengthens the U.S.’s currency and bolsters the Chinese economy. Only time will tell how the new chairman of the Fed balances this with U.S. economic growth and inflation pressures.

I’ve left out the discussion on rare earth elements, because I wanted to address them directly. Apart of the agreements, China agreed to address the U.S.’s concern regarding rare earth elements. There was no trade agreement, China didn’t address the concerns, but an agreement to address it at a future date was made. Specifically, rare earth elements discussed include yttrium, scandium, neodymium, and indium. These elements are used in the production of lasers, super strong lightweight alloys, commercially viable magnets, and high-performance screens including LCD’s and Solar Panels, respectively. In my eye, these talks have revealed that those products (laser, alloys, magnets, and screens) have a high demand.  

President Xi stressed that the most important issue between the two countries is Taiwan, and his worry of how the U.S. will even approach the subject has been expressed. Noting that the U.S. must exercise “extra caution” in handling the question.

All in all, it seems unanimous that this recent visit to China was a beneficial one, and a landmark in the diplomatic relationship between the two countries.

 

In Summary:

-U.S.-China relations are at a historically high level of cooperation

-U.S agricultural products and Boeing Aircrafts are bolstered by the recent visit

-Rare Earth Elements, especially the ones involved in the production of lasers, alloys, magnets, and screens, are seen to have an increased demand

-Interest rate environments, economic growth initiatives, and delicate geopolitical situations are the major factors determining future outcomes.

 

For daily market cap, daily return statistics including average, standard deviation, kurtosis, skewness, and other distribution statistics. Monte Carlo projections, exponential smoothing forecasts, and so more data for 500 large-cap US stocks, check out the links in my bio.

Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Secures Historic Deals with China, Delivering for American Workers, Farmers, and Industry – The White House

President Xi Jinping Holds Talks with U.S. President Donald J. Trump_Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China

President Xi Jinping Holds a Private Meeting with U.S. President Donald J. Trump at Zhongnanhai_Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China

President Xi Jinping Holds Welcoming Banquet for U.S. President Donald J. Trump_Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China

Hello! I made a post on this sub a couple days ago about how I made a resource for stock return statistics (average, standard deviation,median, mode, max, min, kurtosis, skewness) that gets updated every trading day.

Well over the last couple of days, I added a daily forecast page that calculates every S&P 500 company's estimated return for close of THAT DAY. There are quite a few common forecasting methods such as calculations for monte carlo simulations, Volatility Adjusted Geometric Brownian motion, exponential triple smoothing, simple linear, and future value, and what the calculations have to say for the price of the stock.

Feel free to take a look! It gets updated every weekday morning.

I should say, the calculations aren't what is going to ACTUALLY happen by close haha, but they are interesting to see what trends are occurring when the calculations are done.

I'll continue to post more resources, but I just wanted to share this since the statistics resource seemed to be something that some people like.

Happy Investing.

Original Post: https://www.reddit.com/r/hedgefund/s/u1PFxB8tyD

Resource: https://www.systemscapital.net/

Hey All, I’m an investment analyst by trade, and I do a lot of investing and trading (which I think we all do here) so I wanted to share a resource that I made.

It’s a daily-updated table of all SP500 stocks with info on average daily return, standard deviation of returns, median, mode, max, min, kurtosis, skewness (all the stats haha) over the past year.

I plan to do more tables (working on a forecast one right now so you can see what different forecast techniques estimate future returns will be, but for now it is just the statistics and a company data page that shows a description, daily market cap, shares outstanding, headquarter location and industry.

Feel free to use! Everything gets updated daily and you can find a link in my profile bio if you’d like. Happy Investing!