Could scarcity lead to the formation of a new state?
I've been digging into a lot of anthropology lately and looking into past stateless societies. I am seeing a bit of a common theme where conflicts start when a resource such as food becomes scarce. One tribe kills another for its resources, and now that tribe has more resources than it did before. If it keeps this up, now you have a tribe with more resources than everyone else, creating a hierarchy.
In a stateless society, how do you deal with scarcity creating competition over a vital resource? If a drought or a blight hits and a gang is able to preserve itself by pulling a Yamnaya, could this not turn into a state? Especially if they seize control over production of a vital resource?