"Somebody's gotta do something." Ed Gallrein's outsider pitch challenges Massie's anti-establishment defense, pushing the challenger to a 61% market lead.
u/Niviozynk — 13 hours ago
u/Niviozynk
Tech billionaire Dave Schaeffer quietly surrenders prime D.C. real estate for just $9.3 million to avoid foreclosure.
u/Niviozynk — 13 hours ago
▲ 1 r/policymarket
Despite Kash Patel's public threats on Fox News, the "Walz Out as Gov" contract keeps dropping. Are bettors underestimating the DOJ?
u/Niviozynk — 14 hours ago
"I guess I don't understand what Epstein investigation means" - Acting AG Todd Blanche's disastrous exchange with Sen. Merkley today.
u/Niviozynk — 14 hours ago
▲ 1 r/policymarket
Is US heading for recession in 2026? Rice University expert explains why an economic boom is unlikely as energy prices squeeze consumers.
u/Niviozynk — 15 hours ago
With a resume like that, how could he not get the endorsement?
u/Niviozynk — 13 hours ago
▲ 1 r/policymarket
Trump backs Paxton for Texas Senate, explicitly calls for ending the filibuster to pass the SAVE America Act. Odds spike 14% instantly after endorsement.
u/Niviozynk — 16 hours ago
How did Kevin Warsh's ties to the Epstein-adjacent Lauder family get ignored during Fed confirmation?
u/Niviozynk — 6 hours ago
▲ 1 r/policymarket
Trump informally polls Rose Garden crowd on JD Vance vs. Marco Rubio and Polymarket reacts instantly with an 8-point swing (Rubio surges to 14%, Vance bleeds to 19%).
u/Niviozynk — 1 day ago
The push for a Venezuelan 51st State as Trump argues for annexation based on oil wealth and popularity, leading prediction markets to give it a higher probability (5.4%) than Puerto Rico.
u/Niviozynk — 1 day ago
Trump threatens to seize Iran’s Kharg Island oil terminal, but Polymarket bettors aren't buying it. Odds of an Iranian loss of control by May 31 crash to 5%.
u/Niviozynk — 1 day ago
▲ 1 r/policymarket
News says NYC's new tax on Ken Griffin's penthouse is happening, but bettors are pricing Mamdani's bill at just an 8% chance.
u/Niviozynk — 1 day ago
Just a casual 17-year delay on a major allegation. Move along, nothing to see here.
u/Niviozynk — 5 days ago
Soaring oil prices because someone didn’t pass the vibe check in the first sentence of a peace proposal.
u/Niviozynk — 5 days ago
▲ 1 r/policymarket
CBS News reports U.S. is moving to indict former Cuban President Raúl Castro and prediction markets respond with a 35% vertical jump
u/Niviozynk — 5 days ago
Hey ChatGPT, write me a script where I win the argument" -The DOJ, apparently
u/Niviozynk — 5 days ago
Trump formally invites Xi Jinping to the White House for Sept 24 and prediction markets immediately jumps to 89% chance of visit before 2027
u/Niviozynk — 5 days ago
Why pay your own legal bills when you can just extort the IRS for a casual $1.7B slush fund to bail out your buddies?
u/Niviozynk — 5 days ago
▲ 2 r/policymarket
TV news warns Trump might trade Taiwan for soybeans, but prediction markets put a Taiwan arms halt at just 3%. What announcement do you think Trump will make by May 22?
u/Niviozynk — 5 days ago
20 active sex-misconduct probes and counting. Edwards and Mills are just the tip of the spear. Who’s next on the committee’s list?
u/Niviozynk — 8 days ago