Alex Karp, CEO of Palantir, on why most of the AI industry is theater, not engineering: "The reality that we will be able to drive a 100% growth in the US is being driven by the fact that our customers either know or will know that you need actual results."
Netanyahu calls NYT detainee abuse essay a “distorted lie” as Israel plans lawsuit. Traders predict that there is 41% chance Benjamin Netanyahu will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election.
Xi warns Trump that mishandling Taiwan could lead to clashes between the U.S. and China. Traders predict only a 1% chance Trump endorses China’s claim to Taiwan
Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio Cortez emerge as early names in the 2028 Democratic race. Traders predict a 24% chance Newsom will win the Democratic Presidential nomination for 2028.
U.S Mayor Eileen Wang resigns after prosecutors say she agreed to plead guilty to acting as an illegal agent for China. Traders predict the next California Governor winner would be Xavier Becerra.
Kash Patel clashes with Sen. Chris Van Hollen during Senate hearing over reports alleging excessive drinking. Patel's odd leaving Trump Administration before 2027 moved to 64%.
Altman firmly rejected Elon Musk’s claim that he "betrayed" OpenAI’s founding mission. He characterized Musk’s own early involvement as an aggressive attempt to seize 90% control of the company.