u/Investor-life

Alternative way to play ahead of IPO?

Alternative way to play ahead of IPO?

I found this article interesting.

https://ts2.tech/en/digi-power-x-stock-jumps-as-1-1-billion-cerebras-deal-puts-alabama-ai-campus-in-play/

Digi Power X started the transition from bitcoin mining to AI data center hosting about a year ago. They are very early and just now starting to sign up customer. They had a small deal with SMCI recently, but this deal with Cerebras is the big splash. Also helps Cerebras show they are getting capacity to support large customers. The initial deal is only for 40MW, but can be expanded. Digi Power X operates in Alabama, North Carolina and upstate New York and supposed has a total capacity of about 400MW of power across those sites.

They also have an LOI with a power plant in West Virginia that is very interesting (Pleasants Power Station). It has 1.3 GW of power (that appears to be "nameplate" power and not necessarily usable power). It's coal powered (clean beautiful coal?), but they are apparently at least trying to switch to hydrogen power. The plant stopped operating for time in June 2023 as a coal plant and it was sold to this outfit named Omnis who wanted to convert it to some hydrogen/grahite technology. They did restart the coal operations though. Omnis wants an AI data center partner now and its trying to get a contract. In the meantime, they appear to be making progress on the switch to hydrogen, but this power plant seems to have a pretty bad reputation in West Virginia.

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/low-cost-hydrogen-becomes-commercial-reality-groundbreaking-hydrogen-fuel-technology-at-pleasants-power-station-completes-technology-validation-testing-302699766.html

It's only an LOI, but Cerebras maybe saw this as another reason to get in with this company and have optionality later for much greater access to capacity. This might get a further bump at Cerebras IPO time as people learn more about Cerebras and research them. Just interesting, not investment advice, do your own research.

u/Investor-life — 8 days ago

I find it amusing to hear complaints about Cerebras' customer concentration concerns with OpenAI and AWS. The AI chip business by its very nature is customer concentrated because there are only a handful of customers that can shell out the multi-tens of billions of dollars it takes to compete in this market. If you don't concentrate on those customers you don't have an AI chip business and you get swallowed up like Groq did and like Sambanova almost did with Intel.

Cerebras is now in AWS and OpenAI, and has been working with Meta and Oracle. They're a good portion of the way into their entire customer base of large scale, move-the-needle, hardware sales. Their other revenue path is AI as a service with their own data centers which they are doing as well, but as OpenAI, AWS and potentially Oracle scale up, that will likely dwarf their own hosted service. Customer concentration in the AI Chip market is your only option, it's a feature not a problem. As Feldman once said, the only way to get to five large scale customers is to start with one. Well, they now have two, and potentially three with Oracle.

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u/Investor-life — 23 days ago