u/Foreign-Character461

just saw that polymarket is adding perpetual futures contracts for crypto and equities. like actual leveraged perps, not just yes/no prediction markets.

isn't this exactly what the CFTC went after them for back in 2024? they settled that whole thing and now they're just... doing it again but bigger? the waitlist is already open apparently.

i get that prediction markets are in a gray area but perp trading feels like they're speedrunning into another regulatory fight. or maybe they figured out the legal structure this time and it's actually fine?

anyone know if this is US-accessible or just international?

so the GPT-5.5 contract on polymarket has been sitting at 80 cents for like a week with zero official word from openai. everyone was calling it insider trading or momentum gambling.

turns out the announcement is apparently coming today. 80% was right the whole time.

kinda kicking myself for not just throwing $500 at it when it was obvious in hindsight. the "insiders" might just be people who actually pay attention to cloud infrastructure signals and API changelogs instead of waiting for sam altman to tweet about it.

anyone else just watching from the sidelines feeling dumb or is it just me?