u/Financebro30150

running AMZN and MSFT CSPs as my main wheel names. back in mid-April at 30 DTE and 25 delta I was collecting around 2.5% credit on AMZN. same setup this week is paying about 1.2%. not worth tying up the BPR for that, especially with the market already up big from the April lows.

current approach: closing existing positions at 50% profit target and sitting on cash rather than rolling into new ones at these compressed credits. basically waiting for vol to come back before opening fresh positions.

curious what others are doing in low IV environments, do you keep a minimum IVR threshold before entering new CSPs, or do you just accept thinner credits and adjust position size down.

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u/Financebro30150 — 7 days ago

People keep chasing sneakers and thrift scores but PS4s are sitting right there. Consistently find them for $50 or under from people who upgraded to PS5 and just want the space back. Test it, wipe it, relist with a decent photo and you're moving it for $90-100 with basically zero effort. The margin is predictable, the buyers are everywhere, and it doesn't require any specialized knowledge.

The only real downside is that some of them need a good fan cleaning before you can sell with confidence. But that's 15 minutes and a can of air. I'll take that over spending 3 hours at a thrift store hoping to find something good. Anyone else find consoles way less stressful than other flipping categories?

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u/Financebro30150 — 7 days ago

See PS4s listed for $25 all the time from people who just want them gone before a move or clean-out. Xbox One S bundles with two controllers and a stack of games for $40. Like i get it, they don't want to deal with the hassle, but it's still wild how much money people leave on the table just because they don't want to spend 10 minutes researching comps.

The "just want it gone" mentality is basically the whole reason Marketplace is such a goldmine compared to something like eBay where sellers actually know what things are worth. Anyone else notice this getting more common lately or has it always been this way?

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u/Financebro30150 — 7 days ago

started out thinking i could beat the market by researching individual stocks. took me about a year of mediocre results to appreciate how HARD it actually is. now most of my portfolio is in broad index funds, but I keep a small slice for individual names i have conviction on. curious what the split looks like for others who've been investing a few years.

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u/Financebro30150 — 15 days ago

for the past few years every major pullback eventually recovered and rewarded patient buyers. but with geopolitical risk, trade uncertainty, and rate policy all moving at the same time, im wondering if the calculus has changed. what's your framework for deciding when to add exposure vs wait? curious if anyone is shifting toward more defensive positioning or just staying the course with regular DCA.

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u/Financebro30150 — 15 days ago

watching this earnings season and the big theme seems to be that AI capex is the one thing that can spook even strong quarters. GOOGL beats and barely moves. META beats and sells off AH. the market isnt just pricing earnings anymore, its pricing whether the infrastructure spend pays off in 2-3 years. curious how others are thinking about this -- are you rotating toward the picks-and-shovels plays, sticking with hyperscalers, or just staying patient and waiting for multiples to compress?

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u/Financebro30150 — 15 days ago