u/DeviceAdventurous688

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It's no secret that betting markets tend to be a very accurate indicator of political trends— after all, it's not just a poll. There's money on the line for how folks THINK the election will go, no matter who you support. They predicted Trump while the polls favored Harris. They predicted IL-09. They predicted the New York Mayoral race.

Polymarket has:

Bob Brooks in 1st place at 88%

Ryan Crosswell in 2nd at 7%.

Lamont McClure in 3rd at 2.6%

Carol Obando Derstine in 4th at 1.7%

And Kalshi has:

Bob Brooks in 1st at 88%

Ryan Crosswell in 2nd at 14%

Carol Obando-Derstine in 3rd at 3%

Lamont McClure in 4th at 2.4%

I obviously think it'll be a lot closer than those margins, but it seems pretty consistent when factoring in polls, fundraising spread and anecdotal experience. What do you think?

u/DeviceAdventurous688 — 7 days ago

I'm really torn between the two candidates.

Pinsley, I feel, best represents my values but it seems that he runs for everything and loses. I really appreciated that he was such a strong advocate against ICE and that police chief in Quakertown, and Palestine is a central issue to him.

There's a lot of energy around Bradley, but he comes off as just a bit closer to the middle. Never really thought about voting this way but I think that makes him just a tad bit more electable for a seat that includes Bucks County.

What are your thoughts?

reddit.com
u/DeviceAdventurous688 — 10 days ago

This characterization of Lamont McClure should be considered before voting for him. Patti Bruno shared her experience with him in the Northampton County Democrats Facebook group and I found it worth sharing here:

"I promised myself I’d stay out of this. I really did. But at a certain point, staying quiet starts to feel like complicity. And I’m not built for that - I never have been.

If you’re going to step into the arena and talk about leadership, then let’s actually talk about judgment, character, and what you choose to do with a microphone.

There’s something deeply telling about Lamont McClure Jr and the way he operates when he thinks no one will push back. The pattern isn’t strength. It isn’t accountability. It’s ego dressed up as righteousness. If you’ve ever watched Gaston in Beauty and the Beast, you already know the type. Loud. Self-assured. Convinced he’s the hero of the story, even when his behavior says otherwise.

Because here’s the line that shouldn’t have been crossed, but was.

Lamont publicly questioned my father’s character while he was fighting cancer, suggesting he didn’t step up enough. That’s not just inaccurate, it’s deeply personal and out of line. It’s not something a daughter forgives.

That’s not politics. That’s not policy. That’s not even a disagreement.

That’s a decision to weaponize someone’s worst moment for the sake of a narrative.

And here’s what makes it worse. I know others who have been put in similar positions, and I’m not going to share their private medical situations to make a point. Some things deserve respect. Some things deserve boundaries.

But when someone shows you they’re willing to cross that line, believe them.

Going after people or their families during moments like that isn’t accountability. It’s not “tough leadership.” It’s a lack of judgment. Full stop. And it speaks volumes about how someone handles power when they think they can get away with it.

Leadership is about knowing when to push and when to have restraint. It’s about understanding that not everything is yours to use, especially someone else’s pain.

Right now, what we’re seeing isn’t strength. It’s spectacle.

And honestly? It’s not a good look.

If you want more clarity, my door is open. I’ll probably have a dog in my lap for comfort; but I’m accessible."

reddit.com
u/DeviceAdventurous688 — 14 days ago