Looking to apply to PhD programs in mathematics after a master's
Finished my first year in the master's program in mathematics at a top 50 R1 university. If everything goes well I'll graduate on time with a 3.4-3.5 gpa and a thesis project. I'd like to know what the realistic likelihood that I'd be accepted to a PhD program in mathematics at a R1 university (ideally related to my topic of interest). There is a specific area of research I'm really excited to get to the point where I can contribute. I know that acceptance is never guaranteed but I'd like to know more about the possibility.