Likelihood of Winning
Curious of others’ thoughts on my order of likelihood to win season 50
7: Joe 0% - no one respects his strategic game
6: Tiff 5% - I don’t think anyone will see her as the “mastermind” behind any big moves. She’s good physically but I think this jury will favor strategy. Would need to make the end with Joe & Jonathan or Rizo
5: Cirie 10% - she’s been obviously dominating the game strategically. The best player by far. No one will want her at the end because she easily wins. And since she isn’t a physical threat she will eventually get voted out
The top four I think are very close
4: Rizo 16% - I think he’s a great strategic player. I think it hurts him a lot that he was unknown coming in because all the other players had respect for each other already. He probably needs everything to happen perfectly to win
3: Jonathan 19% - he’d get coach & Joe’s vote for being “honorable.” He’s a good physical threat and has been apart of some moves. May be able to sway some more people to vote for him
2: Devens 23% - he’s made some crazy moves that most people will appreciate. He’s very likable. He’s survived on the bottom for a long time. There are some bigger threats to get out which may help him survive to the end
3: Aubry 27% - really good strategically and good at convincing people to vote others out. She’ll convince people to get out cirie and others. Not perceived as that big of a threat. If she gets to the end against anyone but Cirie she will win