Roast my idea. 200+ comments on the problem, not sure my solution reads that data right.
Context first. Immigrant, 4 weeks in Chicago, English is my second language. Yesterday I posted a rant in a local Chicago sub about adult friendship formats being broken. 77 upvotes, 224 comments, 81K views, 15+ strangers in my DMs offering to grab coffee.
Problem looks validated. What I'm not sure about is whether the idea I pulled out of those 224 comments actually solves anything.
Here's the idea I want roasted:
Free 1-on-1 friendship app. Chicago-first. Match is activity anchor plus time (chess Thursday 7pm, run Saturday 8am), same neighborhood, same age range. The activity and the scheduled slot do the work existing apps skip. No group format, no open-ended chat, no swipe matching.
The assumptions I want attacked:
- That "no built-in repetition" is the real bottleneck. Maybe adult friendship fails because people don't click, and scheduling isn't going to fix chemistry.
- That 1-on-1 beats group. Group formats scale. 1-on-1 might just be a harder-to-match Bumble BFF in a hoodie.
- That activity anchor doesn't auto-converge into "Meetup with extra steps." With 50 users and 10 activities I'm back to room-of-20.
- That 224 comments is intent. Could be pure venting. 81K views is the sub bored on a Monday, not a market.
- That 15 DMs translate to waitlist signups. They haven't so far. Sign-up rate is meaningfully lower than the DM rate.
- That Chicago density is enough. Niche activity plus same age plus same neighborhood might collapse to zero matches in month one.
Landing for context only: TRYNEARBY
What I want in comments: which assumption would you attack first and why. Be brutal. Rather eat roast now than build the wrong thing for 3 months.
Meta question for founders who've had a problem post go viral before signup: what's your fastest test to separate "discussion interest" from "actual intent"? Specifics, not frameworks.