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Beginner futures trader here.
I’ve been developing a simple US index futures strategy and wanted to get feedback on whether this is actually solid or if I’m missing something obvious.
I use a 4H trend filter (only trade longs when price is above the 50 EMA and making higher highs/higher lows), then drop down to the 15m chart to wait for a clean pullback into the 50 EMA. I’m looking for the pullback to slow down (smaller candles, wicks forming, no aggressive selling), then a structure shift where price stops making lower lows and forms a higher low. I only enter when price breaks a minor high with strong momentum and a clean close. Stops go below the pullback low, and I aim for around 1:1.5–2R. I only take 1–2 trades per day and skip anything that looks choppy or unclear.
Is this actually a solid approach in your experience, or are there flaws in how I’m thinking about it that I’m not seeing yet?
I aim to create a strict futures trading strategy that essentially 'follows' the insitutions. Welcoming any advice.