
I wrote up the rules to try and help clear it up and a rough odds calc here in case useful:
https://balott.run/digest/2026-04-28/
High level take aways below, would love to get peoples thoughts on these prospective changes?
- Standard ballot is still free. Closes Friday 1 May, 4pm.
- The "Double Your Chances" tier is back for 2027 (the mechanic ran in 2026 too, thanks to those who flagged this in the comments). What's new this year is the £100 hydration vest as the consolation prize, up from last year's £60 winter running top. Pay £49.99 upfront, you get entered into the standard ballot AND a separate second ballot if your name doesn't come out the first time. LME describe it as "at least doubling" your odds.
- If you do get drawn through standard, your entry fee drops from £79.99 to £49.99 (the £49.99 upfront covers it).
- If you don't get drawn at all, you keep a hydration vest worth £100.
- Last year: 1.1m applications, 36% more than the year before. Standard odds are tightening hard.
Two ways I can talk myself into it: effectively £0 net cost if I'd have entered anyway (the entry fee just shifts forward), or it's a £50 charity donation with a vest (looks a bit naff though and I already have an ON hydration vest I just don't use) and better odds attached.
Two ways I can talk myself out: it's still £50 not refunded if my situation changes, and 36% YoY application growth means even doubled odds are still long.
What's everyone else doing? Standard, paid or sitting it out for a different major? Would be interesting to see the uptick for this, if its popular I worry other majors may follow suit.
If you're going for any of the other majors, then the ballot timetable for each at https://www.balott.run/ballots/ may also be of help.