r/USIranWar

First of all, a US vs Iran was has been theorized for decades. There were writings about how it would play out as far back as the 1990s if not earlier. And we always knew Iran could mine and close the Strait. So why wasn’t a plan to mitigate this put into action in the first hour of the war?

But my question…. Can we get the strait open? I hope the answer will be yes. But to do it will require a gigantic and sustained effort. I hope it can happen. Because the alternative is not good at all.

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u/georgewalterackerman — 9 days ago

How does the idea of escorting ships through the Strait of Hormuz ensure safety?

Three times since the dawn of the war President Trump has raised the plan to escort the trapped ships through the straight by use of Navy ships. These plans never gain traction.

Superficially, it seems logical. But, maybe more logical back in the time of blocking being accomplished by a navy. In this era of missiles, does escorting really work? Iran has those, but longer a real navy.

Secondly, do naval vessels expose themselves to risk of damage by missiles, or are naval ships constructed so heavily played that missiles do only superficial damage?

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u/Olderpostie — 5 days ago

What is the Iranian Army doing?

I know the revolutionary guard is taking lumps, and the navy is gone and the airforce did what they could. But the regular army? Has it been hit or is the US hoping for a coup?

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u/Klutzy-Bass8366 — 2 days ago

If Iran and US war end today, how much could crude oil become?

If sanity finally gets back to this world and the war finally ends, as everyone has been looking forward to seeing, what could possibly be the fate of crude oil prices that are currently ranging around $90 to $110?

If we remember, before the US-Iran war started, crude oil was around $70, and many were even saying it would go down deeper because of a lot of speculation around prices and many other factors attached to it.

If it later happens that both sides finally agree to a ceasefire and put the war behind them, my setup for trading crude oil will be huge because I know it could return to $70 or even lower than that. Fortunately, this is the season of trading competition where someone could easily get a share in $40k just by trading commodities and other assets.

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u/SpecialistOk4946 — 20 hours ago