
r/RealBetis

What is the strategy if Betis keep that fifth spot?
Did Aitor say a few months ago that he didn't want Betis to end up with a poor showing like the one Villarreal had in Champions? (Sorry, I don't speak Spanish, so I may have misread the translation) What is the strategy to prevent that?
Does Betis buy Amrabat? (He still makes me nervous with his challenges);
keep Natan and Altimira, despite potentially big paydays? I don't want to sell Natan just to spend too much for someone like Affengruber (who is very good) if Elche go down.
Abde would 100 percent need to stay.
If we are looking at Europa, some of the above sales make sense.
Who are the centerbacks, leftbacks, and number 9s who will be out of contract or in teams that will likely get relegated?
p.s. It would be super if Pellegrini wore the chandal for special matches again.
p.p.s. Three cheers to Rayo (Batalla's saves!) and PSG.
Champions league for us?
Hello I am a new betis fan and I was wondering that how have we preformed in the champions league? Will us getting in the ucl be good for us or will we make fools of our selves
Regalo de mi mujer
La única 1/1 de Fekir. Es un sueño porque soy muy muy muy fan dél.
These tears from Isco feel different. Is he saying goodbye?
Watching Isco break down after we secured the Champions League is doing something to me.I can’t shake the feeling that there’s a lot of despair in his eyes. Maybe I’m being overly dramatic, but it looks like he knows that's the end. It’s like he realizes he finally got us there, but he won’t be the one leading us to the pitch next season because he simply can’t do it anymore. I really hope I’m wrong, but I have this feeling that we’re watching a silent retirement announcement. Please tell me I’m just overthinking this, because I’m not ready to say goodbye to Magisco yet. 💚😭
Question for fans who travelled for the UEFA Conference final last year
First congrats on stealing Real Madrid’s W the other day!
I’m a palace fan with a question about last year’s conference league final:
Did they check season tickets against ID on matchday to enter the stadium?
We’re part of a family group with season tickets and memberships. We want to sit together and since some season ticket holders from our group can’t come we are thinking of buying tickets for those with only memberships using the spare season tickets but worried that they’re gonna check on entry. Did you all have any experience with this?
Thanks!
Real Madrid 2025-26 — when the headline numbers undersell what the football actually looked like.
Sitting on 74 points after 33 games, eleven behind Barcelona, this season is being framed as "Madrid weren't good enough." The underlying metrics tell a different story:
→ 1.18 expected goals against per match — the lowest in La Liga
→ 28.8% field tilt share — the highest in Spain
→ 31 goals conceded — fewest of any side except Barcelona
→ Bernabéu Clásico won 2-1 with a 3.41 to 1.12 xG margin — the most lopsided 90 minutes against Barcelona produced by any La Liga side this year
→ Mbappé scored 23 goals on 23.11 xG — perfectly clinical across the entire 33-match sample
→ 5W-1D-1L in seven matches Mbappé did not start
Across all 33 matches, Madrid's expected points total is 68.2 vs 74 actual — a +5.8 overperformance. Their losses, however, sit at 7.66 expected points to zero actual. That distribution is unusual: very lucky in many wins, brutally unlucky in five specific matches.
Read against expected points, the title race is 3.5 points wide, not eleven. Both clubs got luck. Barcelona got more of it.
Of the five losses: one is an honest defeat at Atlético. One (Osasuna) is a coin-flip even match. Three (Celta home, Getafe home, Mallorca away) are matches where Madrid generated more xG than the opponent and didn't score. The Getafe defeat — 2.02 xG to 0.48, a single-shot lottery loss without Mbappé — is the most dissonant single-match line of any Madrid season this decade.
The squad rebuild is part of the texture. Trent Alexander-Arnold played 760 minutes. Bellingham was injury-shortened to 1,408. Vinicius dropped to a complementary role. Three planned core pieces underperformed and the defence still gave up only 31 goals.
In any other La Liga season, this Madrid lifts the trophy. In 2025-26, they ran into a finishing bug that kept costing them the matches they should have won — and a Barcelona team riding their own positive variance to 85 points from 71.7 xPts.
Full 21-scene breakdown — 7 minutes — in the video.
#FootballAnalytics #DataStorytelling #RealMadrid #LaLiga #SportsAnalytics #ExpectedGoals #VarianceAnalysis #ChampionsLeague