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▲ 747 r/Polymarket_news+2 crossposts

Trump-IRS settlement permanently blocks IRS from auditing tax claims for President Trump and his family.

What do you think about this?

u/Societymess — 10 hours ago
▲ 1.3k r/Polymarket_news+2 crossposts

The Trump administration has authorized the continued use of cancer-causing pesticide atrazine. Atrazine is banned in more than 60 countries.

Why?

u/sleep0077 — 22 hours ago
🔥 Hot ▲ 5.2k r/Polymarket_news+8 crossposts

🇨🇳🇺🇸US Treasury Secretary Basent tried to enter the venue without wearing the conference badge He was directly stopped by Chinese security guards. He was only allowed in after his entourage brought the credentials.

u/LA_search77 — 1 day ago
▲ 1 r/Polymarket_news+1 crossposts

Found an edge ;)

I have found a system for predicting every single 5-minute BTC candle with extremely high accuracy.

Over the past few months, I’ve been experimenting, researching, testing and refining different approaches to short-term BTC price prediction, specifically focused on the 5-minute candles.

After countless hours of testing different models, indicators, market conditions and timing-based setups, I’ve built a strategy that is designed to predict the direction of every single 5-minute candle before it closes.

The goal is simple:

Predict whether the next 5-minute BTC candle will close green or red.

Since there are 12 five-minute candles per hour and 288 candles in a full 24-hour day, this creates a huge number of opportunities every single day.

I’ve been testing this across different market conditions, including high volatility, low volatility, ranging markets, trending markets and major news-driven moves.

The strategy does not rely on guessing or randomly entering trades. It is based on repeatable patterns, probability, momentum shifts, volume behavior and specific market conditions that tend to appear before short-term candle direction becomes more predictable.

Some setups are more aggressive and aim for higher returns, while others are more conservative and focus on consistency and risk management.

The most interesting part is that even a small edge on 5-minute candles can become extremely powerful when applied consistently across hundreds of candles per day.

With proper bankroll management, position sizing and automation, this type of strategy can scale very quickly.

I’m not here to give the full system away, because I’ve spent a lot of time developing and testing it. The strategy is far too valuable to simply post publicly.

But if you’re interested in learning more about how I’m predicting every 5-minute BTC candle, DM me.

u/FantasticConcept25 — 19 hours ago
▲ 18 r/Polymarket_news+1 crossposts

Market integrity concern on this market (please read before voting)

The biggest problem with this market isn't which side is right on the facts. It's that Polymarket's "clarification" doesn't say what the original rule says, and traders entered this market under the original wording.

  1. The clarification quietly changes the rule

Original rule (in the market description from market open): "Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution."

Polymarket "clarification" (posted May 15, 2026, 18:00 UTC, after the dispute was raised): "Footage that was not broadcast live, even if filmed during the relevant events and released during market timeframe, will not qualify toward resolution."

These are not the same rule. Parsed properly:

  • Original: (broadcast) OR (streamed live). Here "live" modifies "streamed", not "broadcast". A clip aired by a network during the timeframe qualifies even if it wasn't a real-time live stream. A stream only qualifies if it was live.
  • Clarification: (broadcast live) OR (streamed live). Now "live" modifies both. Only real-time transmissions qualify.

That inserted "live" before "broadcast" is doing all the work, and it materially changes which clips count. Retroactively narrowing a rule after the event has happened, and after a dispute has been raised, is itself the integrity issue, independent of which way you'd vote on the merits.

  1. Under the rule actually in force, there is clear broadcast coverage

Reading the rule as written when traders entered:

  • CNN, BBC, AP, NBC and Fox all ran live-labelled coverage of the May 14-15 bilateral events (Great Hall welcome ceremony, state banquet toasts, Temple of Heaven walk, the pool spray before lunch at Zhongnanhai).
  • CCTV carried significant portions of May 14 in real time; foreign networks rebroadcast that pool feed.
  • Major outlets' YouTube live streams (CNN, AP, NBC) carried the pool audio of Trump's spray remarks in real time.
  • Pool-feed audio was transmitted to broadcasters during the camera-permitted portions and aired within minutes. That is broadcast.

A clip that aired on a major network during the market timeframe is "broadcast" by any normal-English reading. The original rule did not put "live" in front of "broadcast", only in front of "streamed".

  1. The structural concern (briefly)

UMA's design lets stakers with voting power also hold Polymarket positions on the same outcome they're voting on. This is a known structural conflict, not an accusation against any individual voter, and it's exactly why the rule-vs-clarification gap matters here. If a post-event narrowing of the rule is allowed to stand, anyone holding No benefits from a rule that wasn't in force when the market opened, and that's a precedent that hurts everyone in future markets.

What to do

  • Vote on the original rule. It's the contract traders entered under. "Broadcast OR streamed live", not "broadcast live".
  • Report this to Polymarket integrity. Correct channels per Polymarket's own March 2026 integrity announcement: Polymarket Discord, or hello@polymarket.com. Quote the rule text and the clarification text with timestamps so it's a clean record.
  • If you're not confident either way on Yes/No, P3 (unknown) is a legitimate vote, but letting a retroactive clarification decide a high-volume market is the worst outcome of the three.

https://preview.redd.it/v67wug5w922h1.png?width=782&format=png&auto=webp&s=5502c603894a6b7a2bd00f40fde508745d227186

reddit.com
u/nele_next_level — 22 hours ago
▲ 14 r/Polymarket_news+1 crossposts

High Temperature Markets Disappeared?

Went to bed last night with bets on all the Asian high temperature markets. Woke up this morning and my portfolio is virtually zero, all the bets have disappeared, and all the high temperature markets are saying "this event has been archived".

Does anyone know what's going on?

reddit.com
u/Hot-Procedure-5504 — 2 days ago
▲ 3 r/Polymarket_news

DO NOT USE POLYMARKET

I’m on day 13 of Withdrawal attempts being declined for about a week then complete account suspension. Customer service is completely useless and unresponsive.
Finally I was asked to submit ID, selfies and many other documents. Still about 5 days later no update.
They are other $5k+ hostage for no reason.

Do not use this app pls stay away.

reddit.com
u/joshstallion — 1 day ago
▲ 3 r/Polymarket_news

Withdraw issues

I won $60 yesterday and when I tried withdrawing it to my bank account I’m being told I have $0 to withdraw despite having over $100 in my portfolio. Is anyone else experiencing this problem?

u/Far_Consideration329 — 2 days ago