Following James Gunn’s Superman underperforming, Supergirl now looks like it may have its own Kryptonite.
Matt Belloni is not sold on Supergirl, and if his box office outlook is anywhere close, DC Studios and James Gunn could have another major problem on their hands.
On The Town’s 2026 Summer Blockbuster Confidence Ranking, the Puck News founder gave Supergirl one of the lowest scores on the board and said he expects the movie to make only around $300 million to $350 million worldwide
That could be a major issue depending on the budget.
Using the industry standard 2.5x break-even rule, if Supergirl costs around $150 million, it would need roughly $375 million worldwide to break even. A $300 million global finish would put it about $75 million short.
If the budget is closer to $200 million, Supergirl would need around $500 million worldwide to break even. In that case, a $300 million worst-case scenario finish could mean a loss of $200 million or more.
Belloni ranked Supergirl near the bottom of the 13 summer movies being discussed, placing it at No. 2 on his confidence scale, with thirteen being the highest.
Scott Mendelson was not as down on Supergirl as Belloni, but he also did not sound blown away.
Mendelson gave the movie a 5 out of 13.
“The production values was there. It just felt very chaotic and busy in a way that just let them breathe,” Mendelson said.
Mendelson also addressed the budget and pushed back against the idea that Supergirl is some ultra-cheap DC movie.
“I know this is cheaper than Superman. I was assured that it was not like a Daredevil to Elektra come down in terms of budget,” Mendelson said.