r/IndianExMuslimSpace

So. Allah says he sent Islam as a mercy for all humankind at all times. Pretty bold claim and I do have a habit of liking those who make bold claims and can keep it. So naturally this draws me in to this claim and I want to stress test it. Allah seems to have sent a book of knowledge that showcase this claim of mercy along with 1400 years of scholarly apparently strengthening the case. Now here is the thing, when I start stress testing the claims and explaining the contractions to the scholars, people of “knowledge” or believers, I hit a huge wall. They say the arguments are emotionally charged. Stick to the logic side of things, while completely forgetting that humans are emotionally intelligent anyway. Humans do express true logic, but it often comes with emotions because they do not structure it like a cold machine. And these people who claim others are emotional also seem to showcase emotions when it comes to retaliation or when it comes to criticising other faith. Great. But I am not interested in this human drama. I am interested to stay logical as they asked me to and go test the claim of mercy by Allah with clear cold logic. Below is my take against a theology with 1400 years of “knowledge”. I took time off work the last two months to completely deconstruct islam after some years of leaving it. Wouldn’t it be a thing if I manage to drag Allah’s claim of mercy in the mud using his own claim and pure cold mathematical logic, while challenging this 1400 years of knowledge.

From a Bayesian perspective, merciful/unmerciful is a hidden trait (theta, θ) that we must infer from observed actions (y).

We can use Bayes Theorem to determine the probability that someone is merciful based on a sequences of their decisions as follows;

P(θ | y) = [P(y| θ) x P(θ)] / P(y)

Now let’s assign the values to test it out. Apologists say his mercy is mentioned equally or even more than his wrath in the book. So 50-50 or greater right? Alright let’s see.

Let's take the concept of Eternal Punishment (Hell) as our observed action y.

• Prior P(θ): We start with 0.5 (neutrality). We don't know if he is merciful or not.

• Likelihood P(y | θ): What is the probability of "Eternal Torture" existing if the agent is "The Most Merciful"? In any standard logic, this is nearly zero. Let’s be generous here shall we and call it 0.01.

• Probability of Evidence P(y): What is the probability of "Eternal Torture" existing in any universe (under a just god, a cruel god, or a neutral one)? Let's call this 0.5

Now jump to calculation:

P(θ|y) = [0.01 x 0.5] / 0.5

= 0.01

After observation of an unmerciful act, the penalty that the trait merciful drops from 50% to 1%

But no this is not something apologists will like. They will mention your maths is wrong. You didn’t consider the things he gave you. What about the coffee you are drinking as you write this article? What about the food you ate an hour ago? Ok we will do that too. I am skipping all other acts of unmercifulness directly to his claimed mercy and blessings. Because even then we can show the bizarreness of the claim for mercy.

In this phase, we look at the "observed actions" y (food,coffee). To be as generous as possible to the "Merciful" hypothesis (θ), we will assume these happen consistently for now.

• Prior P(θ): 0.5 (Neutrality).

• Likelihood P(y| θ): How likely is a merciful being to give you coffee/food? I am generous I will say 0.9.

• Probability of Evidence P(y): How likely is food to exist in any universe? Let's stay with 0.5.

P(θ|y) = [0.9 x 0.5] / 0.5 = 0.9

Great now based on Earth the mercy jumps to 90%. This is the logic of the apologist when using to convince people. This one piece of logic without showcasing the rest. But since I want to test all waters and Allah’s mercy on me if I go to hell let’s see what happens. I will call it the Eternal Punishment Calculation.

• Updated Prior P(θ): 0.9 (Carried over from the "Food/Coffee" success).

• Likelihood P(y | θ): 0.01 (Carried over from “Eternal Torture”)

• Probability of Evidence P(y): As defined, 0.5.

P (θ|y) = [0.01 x 0.9] / 0.5

= 0.018

The probability of being merciful now plummets from 90% to 1.8%. Do we need calculated logic for the apologist to understand the same logic expressed emotionally by humans?

I will logically put a nail on the coffin. Let’s stack it all up for final proof.

When we stack these side by side to define “Eterenity”, we have to look at the Time Weight Utility. So

• Earthly Mercies (y): Finite duration (approx. 70–80 years).

• Eternal Punishment (y): Infinite duration (∞)

Even if we give the apologist a million earthly blessings per second, we are comparing a finite sum to an infinite penalty.

If you define the trait "Merciful" based on a sequence of decisions, the math proves the following:

A. The "Lure" Phase: The probability of mercy rises during life because the observations (y) are finite and positive.

B. The "Collapse" Phase: The moment the observation shifts to an infinite punishment, the probability P(θ) is crushed.

The final Mathematical verdict? Because ∞ is not just a big number, it’s a different category of value, the 1.8% we calculated above is actually a generous ceiling. In a true limit-based calculation where y represents infinite duration, the probability of the trait "Merciful" (θ) doesn't just drop. It simply approaches Zero. Zero. That’s it. Almost no mercy. This is what we are saying. This logic is simple. Conclusive. When you pair finite earthly blessing to infinity there is no logic that shows mercy. This is because Mohamed wanted two things. A god that appeals. And also the ability to control the enmass. Pair them up? Well the logical contractions glare at you. Do you need cold maths as above for our point to logically make sense?

Stack more y’s? Child deaths, unanswered prayers, or jizya coercion? Massive collapses now.

So. Here is the thing. Allah you have 1400 years of scholarly knowledge to establish your claim. You have militants defending your claims. But if it took one man to order a coffee, spend two hours thinking and writing this and his weapons are rhetoric and logic to take down your claims, what does is it make you? A poorly coded algorithm with a massive logic bug. 1400 years of scholarship aren't building a proof, they are building a partition to hide the math. I mean mohamed took so many years to build his theology. But it takes a critic incredibly little time to demolish it into pieces utilising the logic of Mohamed. No wonder he wanted to kill apostates.