r/BasicIncome

Will Universal Basic Income (UBI) become a necessity by 2035? As AI automates specialized white-collar roles, how will society redistribute wealth?

Will Universal Basic Income (UBI) become a necessity by 2035? As AI automates specialized white-collar roles, how will society redistribute wealth?

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u/No-Lake-3875 — 1 day ago
🔥 Hot ▲ 215 r/BasicIncome+1 crossposts

We Need Universal Basic Income Now More Than Ever

When Andrew Yang ran for President in 2020, he talked a lot about the "Great Displacement." Back then, the conversation was largely focused on retail workers, call centers, and the millions of truck drivers whose jobs were on the verge of being automated away. People called UBI a pipe dream, a gimmick, or silly. Fast forward to today, and the math has changed, but not in the way the skeptics hoped.

The AI Acceleration

In 2020, we were looking at mechanical automation. In 2026, we are looking at cognitive automation. The rise of sophisticated Large Language Models and generative AI hasn't just come for the factory floor; it came for the office building.

We’re seeing:

White-collar displacement: Jobs in coding, legal research, accounting, and creative arts are being streamlined by AI at a pace that retraining programs simply cannot match.

Decoupling of Productivity and Labor: Companies are reaching record output with fewer human hours than ever before. In a traditional capitalist model, that’s "efficiency." In a human-centered model, that’s a crisis if the gains aren't shared.

The Vanishing Entry Level: It’s becoming increasingly difficult for young people to get that first "rung" on the career ladder because the tasks typically assigned to juniors are now handled by an algorithm.

The Warning Shot

Everything we discussed four years ago has been put on steroids. We saw a glimpse of UBI’s potential during the pandemic stimulus era. Poverty levels dropped, and people had a floor to stand on. But those were temporary fixes for a permanent shift in our economy.

The "Freedom Dividend" of $1,000 a month (adjusted for today's inflation, let's be real, it should probably be higher) wasn't about giving people a "handout." It was about a National Barbell Strategy: providing a floor so that people can take risks, pivot careers, and care for their families without the constant existential dread of being replaced by a line of code.

Humanity First Capitalism

We have to stop measuring our success by GDP, which can go up while life expectancy and mental health go down. We need to transition to Humanity First Capitalism, where the economy serves us, not the other way around.

AI is going to generate trillions of dollars in new wealth. The question is: Does that wealth all flow into the pockets of a few companies in Silicon Valley, or do we acknowledge that this technology was built on the backs of our data, our books, our research, and our society?

UBI is the Freedom Dividend of the AI revolution. It’s time we stop treating it like a radical experiment and start treating it like the necessary foundation for a 21st-century democracy. I mean come on: the math doesn't lie.

--Anders For President 2028

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u/money_talks20 — 2 days ago

Is there any chance of UBI under the current US president, or should I not hope for things? HIs checks never came, and prices have gone up, and there's mass widespread job loss due to AI.

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u/ComfortablePost3664 — 1 day ago

UBI is necessary but not sufficient — what happens when automation eliminates the tax base that funds it?

Most UBI proposals assume the market economy persists and generates the tax revenue to fund basic income. But what if the same automation that displaces workers also eliminates entire categories of artificial economic activity — marketing, brand duplication, planned obsolescence — and takes the tax base with it?

I've been working on a paper that proposes a post-enterprise economic architecture addressing this:

  • Universal Base Allocation funded by a machine-output tax at the protocol level — not corporate tax, not income tax, not robot tax. A direct levy on automated production.
  • The open raffle as primary income for builders — sortition-based funding, no committees, no lobbying. Anyone can enter a project. Honest failure is fine; fraud gets caught by decentralised auditing.
  • Care, education, and culture recognised as funded production — not charity, not volunteering, but protocol-funded economic activity.
  • Capped income gradients — enough differential to motivate, not enough to corrupt.

The paper argues UBI alone becomes a subsidy for a broken system unless we also change what counts as production and how funding flows. It includes a transition pathway, formal models, and explicit system limits (it's not utopia — 5 hard-ceiling remainders are catalogued).

Full paper (35 sections, ~25k words): https://stuk88.github.io/post-scarcity-architecture/

1,000-word summary: https://stuk88.github.io/post-scarcity-architecture/pitch.html

Curious what this community thinks about the funding mechanism problem — is taxing the existing economy enough, or do we need a fundamentally different revenue architecture?

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u/StasArshanski — 5 days ago
▲ 31 r/BasicIncome+2 crossposts

They don’t have to stop reform. They just fund the version that won’t threaten anything. That’s how the system updates… without actually changing.

u/Independent-Gur8649 — 6 days ago