r/AmanCrypto

Rising bond yields are a warning sign.
Money is getting more expensive everywhere at the same time:
-governments pay more to service debt
-companies pay more to borrow
-mortgages and loans stay expensive
-investors move out of risk and into bonds
U.S. 30-year yields above 5% are already a serious level.
When yields rise globally, liquidity gets pulled out of markets.That puts pressure on tech stocks, real estate, consumers, and highly indebted companies.Simple takeaway: the more expensive debt gets, the harder it is for markets to keep rising.

Cuba is reportedly planning to attack U.S. military targets using drones, according to Axios.
CIA Director Ratcliffe flew to Havana on Thursday to personally warn Cuban officials not to get involved in any military action.
🇮🇷🇷🇺 Since 2023, Cuba has reportedly been buying attack drones from Russia and Iran and placing them in strategic locations across the island.

https://www.axios.com/2026/05/17/us-military-drones-cuba

Bitcoin hit $82,000 after the Senate Banking Committee officially moved the CLARITY Act forward.
BTC is up 3.6% over the past 5 hours, adding about $58 billion to its market cap.
The total crypto market added $77 billion over the same period, while around $100 million in shorts got liquidated in the last 4 hours.

$310 billion just flowed into the U.S. stock market.
The S&P 500 climbed +0.46%, adding around $287B in market cap. Nasdaq gained +0.64%, bringing in another roughly $224B.
The rally kicked off as Trump arrived in Beijing for a two day summit with Xi Jinping. He was joined by 17 of the biggest U.S. CEOs, representing companies worth over $12 trillion combined.
But judging by the price action, Bitcoin doesn’t seem too excited about the news. BTC already slipped back below $79K.

Since May 4, we marked the price top, and up to today, May 11, Bitcoin has been moving sideways.
Price is squeezed between support and resistance.
On the bigger picture, Bitcoin is moving inside a sideways upward channel. Last week, it ran into resistance near the upper boundary of that channel.
The lower boundary of the channel is the risk zone.
Not financial advice.

Trump said the EU needs to keep its promise and cut tariffs to zero, or the U.S. will sharply raise tariffs after the country’s 250th birthday.
He also stressed that the U.S. and EU are united against Iran having a nuclear weapon.
Most likely, he’s talking about EU import tariffs on American goods industrial products, agriculture, cars, and other U.S. exports but the post doesn’t give a specific list.

Why did India’s market drop?
Oil is getting expensive, and India depends heavily on imported oil.
The rupee hit a record low against the dollar.
Modi told people to cut back: use less fuel, travel less, and buy less gold/imported goods. The market took that as a stress signal.
Investors started pulling money out of Indian assets.
Nifty 50 dropped about 1.5%, and Sensex fell around 1.7%.
Prime Minister Modi went on national TV Sunday night and urged people to stop buying gold, avoid overseas travel, and cut back on fuel use to protect India’s foreign reserves “at any cost.”

A prime minister doesn’t go on national TV and say something like that unless the situation is already serious.

People are already betting on Polymarket and other prediction markets over what happens with the CLARITY Act.The odds have moved a lot over the past few days: it was around 75–80%, then dropped to about 59–62%, and now it’s bouncing somewhere around 60–70%.Why the odds dropped and became less certain: some banking lobby groups are pushing back against parts of the bill, Republicans and Democrats are still arguing over the details, and there’s a real risk the bill could get watered down, delayed, or only passed in a limited version.But the market has not fully flipped bearish on it.Mainly because the Trump administration looks pretty pro-crypto right now.
Even if the committee votes “yes” on May 14, the bill still needs 60 votes in the Senate.
Democrats are pushing to add ethics rules that would ban government officials from holding crypto assets.
The deadline is important: if the bill doesn’t pass before May 21, when Congress goes on recess, it could get pushed back to 2027, or even 2030.

If you had bought $136K worth of potatoes last month, you’d be a millionaire today.
Potato prices jumped from €2.5 to €18.5 per 100 kg after fertilizer supplies were hit following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
At this point, exchanges might start adding futures even for random stuff like potatoes.

Which commodity is next?