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I’ve been looking at a few small business datasets recently and noticed a pattern that feels counterintuitive at first:
Revenue is growing
Orders are increasing
But margins and overall “quality” of growth seem to be declining
When you dig a bit deeper, it often comes down to things like:
Certain customer segments that look valuable but aren’t actually profitable
Discounts or pricing changes driving volume but hurting margins
Repeat customers dropping off while new (lower-value) ones replace them
Product mix shifting in ways that aren’t obvious at a high level
It made me realize how misleading top-line metrics can be if you don’t break things down at a more granular level (customer, cohort, transaction level, etc.).
Curious if others here have faced something similar:
Have you seen growth that didn’t “feel” like growth?
What ended up being the root cause?
Happy to share more details on how I usually approach breaking this down if it helps.