u/tglotzb

Is everybody still grinding Excel underwriting?

TLDR: Curious if everybody is still grinding through Excel or using personal tools they're building

I’ve been digging into more flip deals recently and I keep running into the same issue of having to manually grind through Excel spreadsheets

I talked to a few investors and everyone seems to have their own spreadsheet with slightly different assumptions, but no one feels super confident in them.

What’s been tripping me up:

  • Rent growth / exit assumptions seem overly optimistic in a lot of deals
  • Rehab estimates swing wildly (especially on older homes)

Out of frustration I actually built a quick tool for myself that:

  • standardizes assumptions (vacancy, rehab ranges, etc.)
  • lets me plug in a deal and run multiple scenarios (cosmetic vs full gut)
  • gives me a quick “would I actually buy this?” answer

How are you all underwriting flips today?

  • Still Excel?
  • Rules of thumb?
  • Something more systematic?

And what’s the piece you trust the least when you run a deal?

If people are interested I can share an example of how I’m breaking deals down now, would love to sanity check it against how others are doing it.

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u/tglotzb — 3 days ago