u/kop92

So I left my bot running over 2 days now, and the results are pretty insane. I'll attach images below for reference.

Also, happy to answer any questions. 😄

Absurd win rate.

Result of having very strict filters, you don't trade very often but the quality of your trade is significantly improved.

Based on my calculations, across 40 hours, there's around ~160 15-min windows. We successfully entered 66 windows, That's approx. ~40% +.

My average trade size is $20 per trade.

Breakdown

I know and understand that these stats look too good to be true, probably it is, even I am in somewhat in a disbelief.

I personally wouldn't take this as a win just yet. My live-run spans only around 38 hrs to 42 hrs. I'd simply call it insufficient data to draw a conclusion.

I do consider increasing bet size to $30 and maybe $40 later on, however at bigger bets, liquidity issues surfaces.

Another additional feature that I maybe adding in the near future would be a compounding bet. So the bet size and profit expand exponentially. But I'm pretty sure I'll hit a stop wall somewhere.

This bot is not proven to be scalable yet.

Important note : I am not promoting or advertising my bot (it is not for sale, at least for the foreseeable future). This is not financial advise, results may vary depending on real time market movement.

Merely sharing my bot building experience. Meaning to say to my fellow bot-builders or devs, "it can be done".

I'm happy to answer questions / provide additional screenshots via comment or DM. Feel free to reach out. TG : @ kop92

Also open to suggestion/ideas/discussions. 😄

I’ve been testing my Polymarket bot using a 0.98/0.99 entry strategy, and I’m planning to share my full Polymarket history so people can see the actual results.

A few of the bigger losses in the history were mainly because the bot didn’t have stop-loss logic at the time. The bot is still a work in progress, so those losses are useful data points rather than something I’m ignoring.

The run yesterday was honestly solid. I’ll attach the screenshot for that as well.

My view right now: I think this strategy can work, but it still needs proper fine-tuning. The main areas I’m working on are:

• Stop-loss behavior
• Strike distance
• Entry timing in the final 25s, 20s, 15s, 10s, and 5s
• Better backtesting against real historical results

For now, I’ve left the bot running for the last 24 hours to collect more live data. More testing and back-testing should make it clearer which settings are actually profitable and which ones need to be adjusted.

Not financial advice, just sharing my own bot testing journey and results.

My last run results. Approx. ~94% Win Rate

This is my entire Polymarket test wallet history with 0.98/0.99 entries

Although it's showing negative PnL, most were mainly due to code issues, bad strategy, and one or two market flipped at the last 2 seconds (beyond my control).

Hence implementing micro-filters during the last 60s of the window where it's very volatile.

Just to show how will your Polymarket history look like.

Example of an entry with entry-filters blocking entry due best-ask being outside my filter.

Fine tuning will improve results, however it may reduce the number of entries, but being selective is rewarding long-term imo.

SL Monitoring, and once market ends, Polymarket auto-redeems, and once balance is updated on Polymarket, bot will mark that window as closed-redeemed.

This is not financial advise, just me learning and sharing my experience 😄

Added [EDIT]

https://preview.redd.it/q3swps3gtq1h1.png?width=1518&format=png&auto=webp&s=06a31f8854e2903f235e65ef8f7e76089e074903

Example of a missed window due to distance being too close to strike price. Coin-flip zone.