u/jupiterslament

My return on my last 40 bets (probably averaging about +140 to +150) has been 54%. From what I can tell, that would have a ~3% likelihood if just betting straight up randomly (assuming return of ~92%), and with the expected values of the bets I made, the odds would be 1 in 1,250.

Now obviously this would lead to questioning "How messed up is your EV formula?" which is fair. And to be sure I'm digging into it. But over ~1500 bets in the past it's been within about 1% or so on total returns. So unless something has changed it just seems to be a never ending streak of bad luck.

What's the worst streak you've experienced, and how did you cope with it?