u/dubterror

An 11th place finish is pretty decent considering the Swans bad start. Here's how the numbers changed since Matos took over from Sheehan:

Metric (per Game) Change under Matos
Goals For +0.46
Goals Against -0.14
Possession -1%
Home Attendance +2,006
Points +0.50

Those might seem like marginal differences, but over a full season they stack up. Here's how each manager's individual stats project over a full season:

https://preview.redd.it/v13z6zl5kryg1.png?width=761&format=png&auto=webp&s=0d092df109afa618c4c5d568ca71b444c9eb302b

The 7th and 21st finishing places are based on the points totals from this season's actual table.

Sheehan's projected Swans would have escaped relegation only by virtue of points deductions to other teams.

The projected full season under Matos would have seen the team miss the playoffs by a single point, although in other seasons 72 points would have been enough.

Next season, the playoffs include the 7th and 8th placed teams. Assuming the Swans transfer business is sound, there's every reason to expect good things next season.

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u/dubterror — 12 days ago