Does anyone see tech writing making a comeback or not actually being automated away with how AI is going?
Tech writing has been in a bad place lately due to AI and the overall economic outlook/job market, as we all know. However, I'm seeing a ton of sentiment lately that AI is starting to crash:
- It's not actually taking people's jobs
- AI companies are massively jacking up token costs to keep up with compute and profitability
- More than half of the data centers are getting cancelled or delayed
- Model performance is stalling, and banks are pulling back
- Companies are already blowing through AI budgets, not even halfway through the year
- NVIDIA execs are saying that AI is more expensive than workers
- Investors aren't buying the AI washing layoffs anymore.
- AGI is still a sci-fi concept, and LLMs are built in a way that is intrinsically impossible to achieve AGI with. No amount of throwing hardware at it and scaling can do this.
Of course, companies are still going for a last-ditch effort with mass layoffs continuing and calling out AI. We all know what happened to AWS and Snowflake, but we're finally seeing some investors scrutinize this. Microsoft and Amazon stock tanked after announcing massive spending deals, and CloudFlare stock dipped almost 20% when using AI as an excuse for layoffs the other day.
When this AI bubble pops, we'll keep having AI, of course, but it seems like we can't sustain this free lunch era for much longer. Companies will very likely pull back on AI costs when model performance begins to match pricing.
I know companies aren't seeing it now, but LLM performance fundamentally relies on documentation and human-written prompts, context, Skill file instruction, and someone who architects all this. Literally, who else does this better than a tech writer?
AI is an insanely powerful tool, but the promises these AI tech bros advertise, and what execs are buying into to appease shareholders, are a pipe dream. I know it's rough right now, but I'm convinced that this has to be a transitory period.
If anything, this is just making a stronger case for tech writers to become Information Architects in a more strategic sense.
Do you think tech writing will come back? Right now, things feel absolutely F'd with the job market and what company execs are falling for, but I don't think this will last. Even in software, I feel like the shift will just move to Content Ops and Documentation Engineering while we see traditional tech writing stay for things like Aerospace, Medical Writing, Hardware, DoD, and highly-regulated docs where the human-in-the-loop is critical.