u/WhistleVeyyBro

Yesterday, during the delimitation discussion, some people argued that we shouldn’t align with neighboring southern states in this issue and that opposing them is fine even if it weakens the South collectively especially with Tamil Nadu as they opposed us earlier.

Now, we’re seeing a contrasting move.

CBN went to Coimbatore to campaign for AIADMK as part of the NDA alliance. As per most pre-poll expectations, AIADMK isn’t in a strong position.

“mana bhasha yedhyna manam antha dravidalam” - CBN

1. AIADMK, during Jayalalithaa’s tenure, opposed Special Status for Andhra Pradesh at a time when CBN himself was CM.

2. On the other hand, we’re actively participating in another state’s political battle.

More importantly,

As a sitting CM, is it really necessary to campaign for a party in another state?

If DMK ends up winning, are we risking unnecessary friction with the ruling party of a neighboring state?

At one end talking about regional unity when convenient, but politically aligning in ways that could strain inter-state relations.

I genuinely shocked how AP ended up not standing with the rest of the southern states on delimitation. That part is honestly hard to digest.

Many people from southern states opposed it but some supported it saying

**it’s a 50% increase for everyone, so it doesn’t matter same as earlier**

But it does matter and quite a lot.

Right now, the magic number is 272 out of 543 Lok Sabha seats. The entire South together has 129 seats. That means even if a party sweeps or gets support from every single southern seat (which itself is unrealistic but let us assume), they would need 143 MPs from the rest of India to form a government.

After delimitation, if total seats go to 816, the majority mark becomes 409. The South’s share would go to around 195 seats. Sounds like growth but but but... the gap to power becomes 214 seats.

That’s 71 more MPs needed from outside the South compared to today.

So why would any national party strategically depend on the South when its relative importance is shrinking?

This is where my concern comes from. It’s not about opposing growth. It’s about losing bargaining power.

States like UP and Bihar will naturally gain more weight simply because of population. Over time, political focus will shift even more towards regions that can independently deliver power. We’ve already seen a version of this, from 2014 onwards, the BJP government had a full majority without needing much support from southern states till 2024. From 2014-24 let’s be honest, em vachay manaki? Special status 5yrs kadhu 10 yrs isthamu ani 2014 elections mundu promise chesi picholni chesaru manalni. Economic hub Hyderabad poyindi, centre em ichina loans rupam lo isthundi adhi yeppudu theeredhi? Theerchadaniki AP people meedha state govts extra taxes vesedhi in the form of petrol, alcohol, income tax, traffic violations ani etc.

There is another point where some are saying...

**Delimitation is constitutional, it’s inevitable if not now it will tomorrow based on 2026 consensus**

Yes, delimitation is mandated. But reality lo to move ahead is very tough.

If it’s purely population-based → South loses out

If it’s evenly increased → still relative loss and in both scenarios it will oppose it

If it’s based on GDP or contribution → North will oppose

So this isn’t some straightforward “just do it” situation. It’s politically loaded no matter which way you cut it.

Lastly the govt also played it cleverly let’s not pretend the timing and strategy are accidental. Linking this with women’s reservation is politically smart. If it passes, credit is claimed. If it fails, the narrative shifts to “opposition blocked women’s empowerment.

When every other southern state is at least cautious or openly opposing, why are we not even questioning this strongly? Intha varaku out of all southern states, most effected state edyna vundhi ante adhi AP ne. Why are we so comfortable aligning without thinking through long-term consequences?

This isn’t about party vs party. It’s about future leverage of our state.

This isn’t outrage for the sake of it. It’s just… concern about where this leaves us 10–20 years down the line. Vunna power ye thaggipothe inkenduku central govt interest chupistadi manaki?