u/WelcomeGuy_1

Pick: Under 6

Reasoning:

• Both teams rank lower in shot attempts in 5v5 over recent games
• Expected goalie matchup projects above league average (GSAA trend holding steady)
• Neither team pushes tempo aggressively unless trailing
• Recent totals look slightly inflated due to short-term shooting % spikes

One thing I’ve been noticing is that these types of matchups tend to slow down a lot if the game stays within 1 goal, especially heading into the 2nd and 3rd periods.

Not expecting a dead under, but something like a 3-2 / 3-1 type script feels more likely than a shootout.

Curious if anyone’s seeing a different angle here or if you’re on the over side.