u/UltimateTraders

Good morning everyone. I will be buying the dip on WIX ! At open this will have a PE ratio of around 8-9x. That doesn’t always mean much. The stock market is a live auction. The big thing is that WIX actually bought back 17.5 million shares at an average price of 92!!! They used 1.6 billion! The company at open will be worth less than 4 billion! Now, I am not doing DD on cash flows, interest rates on loans etc, that is important, I am fairly busy, I said how this takes 60 to 90 mins. I am spending the 2-3 mins looking at the headlines. They are still looking for 10-15 growth. So my thought process is growth still near 15%, PE near 8, company still buying back shares, it has a lot of catalysts, but be careful bad earnings!

I may be buying TMDX ! Also worse than expected, but I am buying these in small scales, less than 1% of my portfolio! I may even buy some OPRX , also eh earnings yesterday… the thing is when a company is in the dog house and things turn they explode…

Most recently, check PENG , I just retweeted some of my stuff, in April it was just 16! Now 50+ . I retweeted many of my MU tweets. Do you know I was stuck in MU at 120 for 13 months! I watched it drop to 60! I was trading a 2^(nd) block as low as 80!

Yes, I would rather buy something with great sales, great earnings, hence when I report earnings, I no longer grade bad earnings! I used to give companies a 10 to 50!!! I highlight companies executing because there usually is momentum on the way up [not just the stock price, the company is executing] as well as downside. They almost always come hand in hand… I said for many months NBIS is a possibility buy the valuation already… I just tweeted my stuff from APLD saying how it was worth the risk reward because it was 4! Check! Now up 1,100% in a year. So I do see the growth in many names but your risk tolerance?

Look, I saw ASPN growth explosion, I was trading this 15 to 25… I was making nice gains.. the company stopped executing and I took the loss around 5.50, my avg was like 17? This was last year.. They hammered it for 4 quarters… then all of a sudden results hit the fan… and the valuation wasn’t even insane for what they were doing .[NBIS insane!] We must always follow a company every quarter. More recently I am getting annihilated on TTD and DUOL .. Both companies I bought as growth was decelerating but still above very good growth! Both! 20%

I view 20%+ growth in sales as very good.

Anything over 30% I classify as hyper growth.

The reason being the SP500 great companies grow sales at 10-20%.... So anything above the average great company is very good. 30% is hyper…

I expect every company to grow sales and earnings at 5-10%... if you are growing 5-10%, to me, you get a 65 score on your report card… You are supposed to be in the best 500 companies of the world… So my expectations are high.

The title has many companies I am watching. I will do up to 3 longs. WIX will be 1 of them.

 

I am in 250 shares of KMX at 37.

 

Excellent earnings:

FNV [Again]     PAYS [Tiny Wow]     NXT [Again]       BWAY [Tiny]      NBIS [Valuation]      EOSE [Wow may add to Plays]       TRMD [DD]

 

Very good earnings:

CNSWF      KRMN      AIP      EVLV      VSH        DT     ATAT      VEON [DD may add to Plays]

 

Good earnings:

DDI      ATRO     GILT         PSFE       GLBE       ICL

 

Good luck!

Good morning everyone. I have not done full proper DD after earnings on not 1 company. Just being honest. It takes a good 60 to 90 mins to check each individual company. I have checked the headlines on well over 1,000. Usually when headlines pop out at 1 company I will do the proper DD on it. You can get the information free at SEC edgar online. The company submits information there. When you read headlines they are biased by the writer/author, journalist. When you open an actual 10Q you are getting unbiased info submitted to the SEC. It is isn’t just checking overall sales, overall income. It is about checking margins, expenses, 1 time items. Financials, did they get better or worse, what are the interest rates on their loans? Are they wasting money on interest, can they raise money to pay off that old debt? Can they print shares for cash? Why were sales bad this quarter over last? So I compare quarter over quarter, then year over year… it is to dry and gauge. That takes a good 60 mins to go over the full 10Q, and compare…. Then I spend 30 mins checking insider activity, I check for the large owners, did they add, subtract to their position, why? I have not done that on any to be honest. I am so backed up with CT stuff. Evictions, repairs, acquisitions… I have no property manager. I have 30 properties and 110 units. I am hoping to close on a 3 property 11 unit deal the end of this month to early next month… So it is pretty much even more than a full time job. There are a lot of good deals on surface, like CELH . Those earnings on surface was tremendous, I didn’t do DD. So I am in 30.50, I also have 41.50. I have been trading SOFI last in 15.85, no DD….

I may buy the dip on PSIX no DD. HIMS surface looks bad! I have 250 at 32.25.. Oddly the company raised sales guidance for the year… Does that make sense? If you missed this quarter, but you see full year sales up, why, why not? These are things you need to dig into the report and see what the company has revealed to the SEC.

 

Some excellent earnings since yesterday on surface:

VG        TE [DD may add to Plays]      ESOA [Tiny]       PANL [Tiny]      HLIT       GDOT [Getting bought out]        HALO [Bio tech]

 

Very good earnings:

ZBRA        Q        SEPN      EIFZF       NVRI        HLIO        NGS       LIF       DSP      SPG     PLUG

 

Good earnings:

AG       ALLT       JD       SIBN

 

We must also pay attention to CPI inflation. The Fed was trying to get us closer to 2.5% [Historically we were at 2!] We just came in at 3.8%, this is year over year… So even a 0% inflation doesn’t mean things are getting cheap, it means that there is no rise over last year’s already inflated number! This Iran War has hiked Oil prices which will show up everywhere… Unemployment is rising again to 4.5% [Danger may be near 5%] Just things we need to pay attention to.

 

Good luck!

Good morning everyone. Momentum is real! We keep making record highs daily. We are having tremendous earnings and sales growth. I just don’t think that means we should trade over 20 to 21x. [300 x 20 or 21 which is 6,300 at most!] Yes, this is old school thinking, but I am old school. We should earn roughly 300 on the SP500 which is about 13-15% growth over 2025 which is definitely incredible and which is why I would even consider 21x.

Remember prior to the pandemic 2020, we didn’t trade above 18 to 19x. Ever since 0 commission trading, tons of retail, we are trading at highly elevated levels..

This is like people in real estate paying 25-50% high for the same property.

I usually try and make back my money in 6-8 years, which is like a 10% return… If people overbid and I can not make back the money I will let it go.

I still aim to make 400-500 per unit, after all expenses.

Example…. If I am buying a 4 family property, I would like to make about 1,600 to 2,000 a month in cash flows, this is without appreciation. I don’t want to make this complicated so let us not count repairs or capex..

Let us say 1,800 a month.

1,800 x 12 = 21,6000 per year

Let us say for this example we will use 7 years to make back my initial investment [No repairs, property is perfect shape, doesn’t happen, unless new, but for this example]

21,600 x 7 = 151,200

When I purchase a property I must put 25% down.

So that means this is a good deal as long as I do not pay over 600,000 for this 4 family.

151,200 x 4 = 604,800.

The stock market is like people paying 800,000 for this same property!

I have been doing stocks for 30+ years, real estate almost 10 years.

I am not paying over maybe

21,600 x 8 = 172,800 [This is 8 years to make back my money]

172,800 [25%] x 4 = 691,200 and that is if I love the property… because I will sit and wait rather than overbid…

My thoughts with the market! I am trading but I am going in very light right now. I used to buy 1,000 shares of something that traded at 50, regularly! I am now trading 250! I still and did aim for 200 to 600 per trade. I am just trading less and waiting. Last April, we did fall below fair value. We dipped to 4,800 and fair value was about 5,200. I was trading MU 80, AMD 80 and NVDA 90! Check here at Ultimatraders or on X. I was willing to take more positions as we were getting a deal… Now, the deals are hard to come by.. So be careful!

This doesn’t mean we will fall or crash, it means the risk reward is very high… momentum is strong and we can keep going but I am not chasing! My retirement is 100% vested all the time. I have mainly index funds SPY VOO DIA QQQ I also have about 10 long term positions like AAPL JPM GS GE [Spin offs received at split GEV GEHC] WMT HD . So just trade knowing the past.. Judge your risk tolerance.

 

Amazing earnings:

LINC        CEG [Impressive]        MNDY      LQDA [Wow again]        NESR [DD]

 

Very good earnings:

TUSK      UNIT [Adding to Earnings watch]         CRON       PRTH       VFF        B

 

Good earnings:

XGN         CEVA

 

I am in 500 shares of CHYM 18.50

I am in 250 shares of PINS 20.50

 

I will get up to 3 longs.

Great earnings from MNDY but definitely a slow down. Where do we decide the slow down is too much or not? What valuation makes sense?

Look at TTD 10x DUOL now like 35x or TMDX 30x where once upon a time all these names traded at 50-100x! I have always said I am not comfortable giving more than a 40x. If the market is on fire maybe 60x…. And now these names are getting crushed below 40! TTD near 10x!!! MNDY when the market opens will be in the low 20s, but it was in the dog house. I am in 100 shares at 140… I had traded a 2^(nd) block at 70 and below many times… I may wait for now…

 

Good luck!

Good morning everyone. I have to head to CT soon to meet some contractors. I am doing some massive renovations. Trying to narrow down who will get this big job. It is 125-150,000 and will likely start in 1-2 weeks. A massive porch and big roof, I just tweeted some videos of it. Was waiting for the warmer weather. So this will be short, the market is my true passion but the risk reward at these highs sucks.

The market is the market, it is a live auction built on daily sentiment, but if you have followed me or read me, by historical standards this is crazy! 23-25x…

Also, I am not defending TTD the earnings were not good, it showed a slow down in growth of just 12%, slowest, maybe ever.. but look, the SP500 SPY VOO is growing earnings at 13% and sales at 9% and trading at 23-25x…

TTD is growing at 12% and trades at 10x! Come on man! Earnings near 2 dollars. I am in 36 and 55. When I first purchased it growth was around 25%... law of sizes too, as we grow in size it is hard to beat comps. Can this get 20x? or 40 bucks and I take a loss on my whole position? Dog house like PRGS !

 

Excellent earnings:

FIS [DD may add to Plays]        ROAD [Again]        ANIP [Bio tech]      PRAA      TWFG [DD]     WPM       LASR      GMED     CPAY     INOD     ARLO      FDUS [Tiny]       MNST        PDFS       HASI

AFRM      RKLB [Valuation]         NET [Valuation]        HUBS [Guidance eh]       AVPT      FROG      RKT      MP [Valuation]       GEN

 

Very good earnings:

JOUT       MPTI      MRVI       FIGS        OABI        WMG     AMN [DD Tiny]       DIOD      PAR      HHH     ASTH       BILL       CTRE      DKNG       TOST      EXPE

 

Good earnings:

GLP      PPL       DCBO       BFS     ESE       KRT        NATR       PCTY      SPT     SOBO      MBUU      BLFS       LOCO       OUT      ALRM       SYNA      REAL      CLNE      XYZ       MELI

 

CRWV Massive losses but growth!!

 

I traded 250 shares of PINS from 21 to 22.25

I traded 250 shares of TREE from 40 to 41.50

I am in 500 shares of SOFI 15.85

 

I am watching the stuff I put on the title. Good luck!

Good morning spent 3 hours on earnings.

 

Excellent earnings:

AUPH [Bio tech]      XMTR      ARW [DD]       VVV     AAON     BEAM [Losing money still]      APPN [DD maybe Plays]      FOUR      DDOG      TPR      INSW [Wow]      ACMR     WD [Wow]      GCT [Chinese]      CELH     MDA      RGCO [Tiny]       ROOT       ARGX         WHD     MUX [Never seen it]

TORXF      ECPG     MIAX       PNTG      BTG [DD]       OSG [Tiny]     DGII       OTCM      PLMR [Again]

BLLN [DD]     ORA     RELY      TRMLF     KLIC      ELA [Tiny]     SNEX       RDN         PTRN [DD]     GOLD     CXW     WTS     OR      SM [Wow]      EZPW [Wow]      RYN     AEVA      CGNX      GNK [Wow]     SITM [Wow]      SEZL     CLOV [Adding]      AGL [Tiny]    ALB [Wow]       RUN      WES     TARS [Bio Tech]      DASH     FTNT      ZVRA [Bio Tech]     APP    AXON    PTC    KTOS

 

Very Good earnings:

NSIT      ASC      MTSI       ROCK      TPB      GPGI     BSY     MIDD     TGLS    INSM     HWM     NXST      PLNT [Guidance, add to plays? Dip?]       LFST     OLP      PRI      CHYM       RDVT     ZVIA      IBEX     CPK    MKSI      CW       SD     CF     COKE     CDE     BROS     ZG [Z]       FLUT     COHR     IONQ     FSLY     ARM

 

Good earnings:  BGC      COLL      LNTH      CCLD       PGY      VERX     NABL     MCD      VTRS     MPX      RES     MKTX       KPLT       RDWR    ACIW      LNC        CSGS      CENT     NNBR     SKWD      LZ     TS     HCI     LSAK     NXDR      XRN     CAPL    ES     BLBD    O     NVST     SRPT     CRUS

 

I sold 250 PYPL from 44.75 to 47

I sold 250 KMX from 37.25 to 38.25

I am in 500 KVYO 17

I am in 75 PRIM 122.50

I am in 500 PINS 21

 

I have to run!

 

Good morning everyone. Came back pretty late yesterday. I did share some videos. I did get 1 unit back from an eviction…  court is giving a tenant more time on another eviction. I am in court all the time, this happens as you expand. I am going back Friday to sign a contract on a huge renovation, near 125 to 135,000. This is for a roof and a back porch on an 8 unit building. It is actually my largest single property for now. I am also closing on a 3 property 11 unit deal in 4-5 weeks that I have to get a lot of documents ready for. I have no help, no property manager. I have 3 groups of contractors, who have workers, it is probably about 10 people. I have about 110 units and 30 properties in Northwest Connecticut. I am trying to build a large 50-75 unit building next year. When this is built, I will have a super then, I will first see how that super does with tasks there and may give him more responsibilities and pay him as such. He cant just manage, he actually must do simple repairs too. Change lights, faucets, switch brakers, change outlets, do snow, lawns etc…

 

I have a lot I have to take care of so this will be short.

 

Excellent earnings since yesterdays close. 95+ score :

KAI       PAAS       EOG      EVC [Tiny]      IAG      ECG [Wow]       VSEC      PTGX [DD]     FLYW [DD]     COMP [Wow impressed may add to Plays]       WK [DD]       GPOR [Wow DD]       DAVE      KVYO [May but the dip]          TLN       J       VCYT       CHRD        JAZZ        AMD [Don’t like valuation here]

SSRM        ALAB       MCY [Again]       ANET      NBIX [Bio Tech]       PRM [Wow]      OSCR [Wow]      GEO      AMCR [May Add]       MRX [Again]      SII       SRTA [May be worth risk reward]         PODD [Again]       GPN      FRPT       ITT       KMT

 

Very good earnings. 85 score :

 

FLEX        ATRC      UFCS      TFPM        ADPT       CXDO        PSTL       INTA        GXO        MQ        CTVA       PRU       TEM      MRCY       RVLV       TBLA      LIVN      CRI       ELAN       YOU      LAW      HNI       MDLN      LFUS      SN       SHOO      HUT      OSS      TWIN 

 

Good earnings. 75 score :

FOA       USNA      ARDT      HURN       QRVO      SLAB       BXC       VOYA        JKHY       HNGE      TDC       QLYS        LMB       BL       LEU        AMWL       FRSH       COTY     GNW      RPD       ANDE      DVA      EXEL      SOLS      OC       NVO [Good guidance]        BCO       NYT       TRMB       UBER       BRKR      CVS     BLMN     FUBO      NVAX

 

I cant believe EVER ! like 60% and I sold Monday at 15! Valuation was low, they did revise up. SLQT super fire, didn’t do DD on earnings but was worth the dice roll. I also have EHTH for this same reason, down on it. I may add like 4-5 names to plays but been so busy. PLTR earnings was tremendous! I have a small position in PLTD , it is just the valuation is ridiculous. Even at 60x it is fair about 85 to 90. I rarely pay over 40x. I am old school. For this reason AMD is way too high for me at the moment. Earnings were great, 0 problems with it, but valuation to me. I will do up to 3 longs. I am watching dips on PRIM UPST TMDX they all had bad earnings, I didn’t do full DD, careful! KVYO dip also, great earnings!

 

I am up on 250 shares of TREE 40

I am up on 100 shares of INSP 47

I am up on 250 shares of KMX 37.25

I am up on 250 shares of PYPL from yesterday 44.75 [I also have shares at 54.50 and 59.50 smaller blocks]

I sold 2000 shares of SLQT from 1.10 to 1.20, wasn’t the plan but it dropped to like 60 cents!

 

Good luck! Have to run!

Good morning everyone. Spent a lot of time on earnings. I must get ready for court. Need to be in CT by 9:30. It is 7am.

 

Excellent earnings:

WLFC [DD may add to Plays]        WLKP [Tiny]        INTT [Tiny]      ECVT [DD]       ENLT [Wow DD may add to Plays]        WAT [Wow]       PLOW [DD may add to Plays]       ERO [DD Add to Plays]

PAY       VVX     NUVB      LSCC       FN [Eh guidance though]       STRL [Insane wow, again]      BWXT       AEIS       PLTR [Valuation]      ALSN [Wow DD]     DUOL [DD slow down but come on]

DOCN       SHOP

 

Very good earnings:

ETN      IDXX       BALL      BRCC      ADEA       BLZE      EVER [Also guide up]       NHI        TCMD     PINS      VNOM      BLD

 

Good earnings

 

IART       BUD      ADTN      OTTR        BWIN        JBTM       MSA      HSTM      TNC      ALG     NJR      FANG     INSP [Guidance]       PYPL    AEP      STNG      TRI

 

I did make some moves yesterday:

Sold 500 shares of EVER 14.60 to 15 [No Fomo good earnings after the bell]

Sold 250 shares of PINS 23.45 to 24.75 [Caught after hour spike, was stuck 3+ months!]

In 100 ANF 79.25

In 250 KMX 37.25

In 100 INSP 47

 

I will get up to 3 longs but will be in and out with court.

Not surprised with GME . I have said for 5+ years that Ryan is really dumb and a tool. Adam with AMC may be a snake, but he is much smarter. Wow EVER flies after I sold. STRL rips again, years ago I had this under 50! Sad! PLTR earnings tremendous but valuation. Maybe this is worth 60x earnings which is like 85? DUOL awesome earnings, but indeed slowing down. If you gave this near 40x earnings this would be near 125. I am in 165 sadly.

 

Have to run!

 

Good morning everyone. A big earnings week is coming! So just a couple of excellent earnings this AM [95 score and above] :

FSTR [Tiny]        GBTG [DD]       KRYS [Bio Tech]

 

Good earnings this AM [75 score] :

NSSC

 

Friday was an amazing day for me, and I wasn’t even in NY or CT! I came back from seeing my girlfriend in Colorado. She was called in to work in 2023. She was working remotely before that. She is a coder. Hence, I am thinking of buying a house or condo in Boulder, CO.

I really don’t have goals with trading. I try and make 100K a year from trading. Or 2K a week.. There are about 250 trading days a year, or 400 a day. I do have a good amount of capital, I am trading with a small portion of it. Also, I am slowing moving money into Real Estate. I will not leave the market, but at these levels the risk reward is high. I am looking to close a 3 property 11 unit deal at the end of this month. I am still doing a lot of renovations.

 

Friday’s trades:

I sold 250 shares of CLMB 16.05 to 17.25 [300]

I sold 250 shares of CNXC 23.50 to 24.50 [250]

I sold 250 shares of IOT 28.25 to 30.25 [500]

I sold 500 shares of SAIL 11.50 to 12.25 [375]

I sold 10 shares of NOW 88 to 92 [400]

Trades [1,825]

I am in 250 shares of TREE 40

I am in 100 shares of LULU 134

 

I am glad we can now witness the stock market, the open market first hand. What I am writing is not a conspiracy. It is fact, you can check Google, Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini or even GROK . GME has raised 6-7 billion dollars since 2020 meme. It has not, as a business made money. They have only been profitable because of treasuries they have bought with the cash. [So the business is dilute, shaft retail for cash, because my business sucks, let me close down stores, lower expenses, dilute more so I can figure out a business plan] PLEASE CHECK! Elon is kind of doing this as well! The numbers do not make sense, please check the CNBC interview today. So if GME offers all its cash under 10 billion, all of its stock around 10 billion….. has a 20 billion loan from TD that is 40 billion….. Simple math!

Where is 56 billion?

Ryan slipped up and said dilution!! Wake up people! If the stock goes up, he will  shaft to get the money to buy EBAY!! COME ON MAN!

Now the good thing is Ebay is a real company, a real business plan, and definitely 1 of the biggest, most attractive online market places.. Sure it can be managed better..

I do not know if Ryan would be bad for Ebay, maybe he may even be good… I don’t know, but I know the math isn’t mathing! He can only buy Ebay with insane dilution! More bonds etc….

Maybe long term it would be good? But no one knows, including me…but what I do know now is that GME is a cesspool as it is, Ebay is a real company, maybe he can pull off this move, but it will be massive dilution!

 

I will get up to 3 longs.

 

Good luck!

Good morning everyone. Will be headed back to NYC over the weekend. Have to head to CT Sunday. Some amazing earnings from those companies in the title and then the horrible numbers from RBLX . RBLX has not been profitable since ipo nearly 5 years ago, it is no where near it, still! Trash! Can't believe it was 150 within the last 52 weeks.

I did make some moves yesterday.

I sold 250 CALX from 41 to 42.50

I sold 500 LC from 16.25 to 17

I am in 250 CNXC 23.50

I am in 250 CLMB 16.05

I am in 250 IOT 28.25

I am in 500 EVER 14.60

Tons of earnings, I hope everyone is having an amazing earnings season. Good luck!

Good morning everyone. Will be headed back to NY over the weekend. We should go out, touch some grass, enjoy the world, as long as we are able to, if we have freedom. Money comes and goes, can be made again. Health, family and time are priceless.... they cant be bought!

Those big 4 had incredible earnings LLY CAT too! Naturally with AI and all the advanced technologies coming at a fast pace these monsters will spend more than ever. That is very good for chip leaders like NVDA AMD ASML TSM and even INTC .

It has been incredible for memory makers WDC STX SNDK and MU ... sad I had all the memory names. Tons of earnings but im enjoying life out west with an important lady.. Who was transferred at her job, in 2023 out west. I try and visit her like 5-6x a year and hopefully with tenure she can transfer to a New Jersey location in a year or two.

I did get my 3 longs yesterday and I could have bought more!

I am in 500 shares of SOFI 16

I am in 500 shares of LC 16.25

I am in 100 shares of NOW 88

Good luck everyone!

Good morning everyone. Wow some earnings! I will be willing to add up to 3 longs, still on vacation so doing many other things but may make a few trades.

Yesterday

Sold 100 shares of WLDN 70.20 to 71, definitely wasnt the plan but saw it at 64 same day!

In 500 share of SAIL 11.50

In 250 shares of CALX 41

Earnings season full swing, best time to add tickers to watchlist. Next week when I have more time I will definitely look to adjust my lists.

Good luck!

Good morning everyone. Away from NY and Connecticut until this weekend. If I make moves I will post here and on X. Huge earnings season but not going to spend alot of time on the market while I am away.

I did trade 100 NOW from 88 to 90.50

I also sold 100 ROOT from 56 to 58, was stuck months!

I am in 100 shares of WLDN at 70.20, didn't check any dd

I will get up to 3 longs, I have unloaded many bags the past 10 days.

$bbby is on fire, just remember this is not the same company that went bankrupt. This is formally Overstock dot com. They purchased the name for 21.5 million in bankruptcy auction because it was a popular name. They also changed their symbol 2 times from.

$ostk

$byon

And finally they took the old $bbby

Meaning careful of memes!

$CAR was 850 and now 184 in a week!

Good luck

If I do make a trade. I will post here of course.

Anyone is welcome to share ideas too, as always.