u/Ubersicka

Criteria	What It Means	Nike Current Status	Good or Bad?	Quick Take
Top-Line Growth	Measures how fast revenue grows over time (CAGR). Shows if the business is expanding.	~1%–4% 5Y Revenue CAGR. Growth has slowed in recent years.	⚠️ Mixed	Still growing, but much slower than historical Nike levels.
Shareholder Yield	Shows if shares are being bought back or diluted over time.	Share count slowly declining (~1%–1.5% per year).	✅ Good	Consistent buybacks support shareholders.
ROIC (Efficiency)	Measures how efficiently the company generates profit from capital.	~11%–15% ROIC	✅ Good	Strong capital efficiency despite slowdown.
Net Profit Margin	How much profit is kept from revenue.	~4.8%	⚠️ Weakening	Margins have compressed recently.
PEG Ratio	Valuation adjusted for growth (P/E vs growth).	~1.3–1.7	⚠️ Fair / Slightly expensive	Price assumes recovery in growth.
FCF Yield	Free cash flow relative to market price.	~1.6%	❌ Weak	Low cash return at current valuation.
Interest Coverage	Ability to pay interest from operating profit.	~13x	✅ Strong	Very safe debt profile.
Credit Rating	Overall credit quality and default risk.	A / A2 level (investment grade)	✅ Strong	Financially very stable company.
Dividend Payout Ratio	Portion of earnings/FCF paid as dividends.	Currently elevated (>100% earnings payout)	⚠️ Weak	Earnings pressure makes payout less comfortable.
5Y Dividend Growth Rate	Annual dividend growth over 5 years.	~9%–11% CAGR	✅ Strong	Reliable dividend growth history.
Consecutive Dividend Increases	Number of years dividend increased.	~24 years	✅ Excellent	Strong dividend culture.
10Y Forecast Yield-on-Cost	Future dividend yield if growth continues.	~3.7% current → ~8%+ in 10 years (est.)	✅ Attractive	Strong long-term income potential.
Moat	Competitive advantage that protects profits.	Global brand, marketing power, athlete partnerships, scale	✅ Wide moat	One of the strongest consumer brands globally.
Biggest Bear Case Risk	Main long-term risk to business.	Loss of brand relevance and market share to newer athletic brands	❌ Real risk	Competition and cultural shift could pressure long-term growth.

Kevin Warsh has officially been confirmed as the next Federal Reserve chair, winning Senate approval in a 54-45 vote, the most divided confirmation ever for the role.

Warsh, 56, will replace Jerome Powell, whose term ends Friday, and will take over the central bank as President Donald Trump pushes for lower interest rates while new inflation data makes the path ahead more complicated.

His confirmation ends a months-long search that began in summer 2025. The vote broke almost entirely along party lines, with Pennsylvania Sen. John Fetterman the only Democrat to support him.

Warsh's first Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting as chair is scheduled for June 16-17. He is also set to become the wealthiest Fed chair in modern history, with reported holdings above $100 million. Under newer ethics rules, he will be required to divest many of his investments before taking the role.

"I am very much looking forward to my trip to China, an amazing Country, with a Leader, President Xi, respected by all. Great things will happen for both Countries! President DONALD J. TRUMP"

INTC 134 Short
Dangerous trade here, but watching how the pre-market top forms.

SLV 73 → 73.50 Long
Starting to move into the breakfast level. Watching for a break over 75, then possibly a pullback to reset longs before continuation.

MRNA 53 Long
Looking back toward Friday’s close if the market avoids heavy weakness.

AMZN 272 Short
Watching for a breakdown move in the pre-market.

^(⚠️ These are just market ideas and observations - not a financial advice. Always manage risk and do your own research.)

What do you guys think? Bullish or bearish today? 📈📉

• Revenue Growth: Achieved a 12% year-over-year increase, reaching $550 million.
• Gross Margin: Expanded to 45%, up from 42% in the prior period.
• Operating Income: Rose by 18%, reflecting enhanced operational efficiencies.
• Free Cash Flow: Generated $75 million, supporting ongoing strategic investments.