
**TL;DR:** I'm 6 weeks out from my first Hyrox and got tired of guessing my projected finish time. Built a race-time projection engine that updates as I log per-station PBs. Sharing in case it's useful to anyone else here, would love feedback on the formula.
The problem
I kept seeing "what's a realistic sub-90 plan" posts here, and most answers were vibes-based. Coaches give you a number, but the number doesn't update as you train. I wanted to know: if I improve my wall ball PB by 30 seconds, how much does that move my projected finish?
What I built
A diagnostic-first Hyrox planner that does the math for you. The projection formula:
finish_time = 8 × (1km pace × fade_coefficient)
+ Σ (per-station PB × position_fatigue_multiplier)
+ 8 × roxzone_allowance
Where:
- Run fade coefficient is calibrated to your finisher tier (default 1.10 = 10% slower by run 8).
- Position fatigue multipliers per station are based on race-day fatigue data (sled-push fresh = 1.03 × PB; wall balls at end = 1.25 × PB).
- Roxzone allowance defaults to 8s × 8 transitions = 64s, configurable.
You log:
- 1km run PB (fresh)
- Per-station PB (sled push, sled pull, burpee broad jump, rowing, farmer's carry, sandbag lunges, wall balls, ski erg)
- The projection updates instantly.
Two extra modes
- Guided 16-segment simulation. Full-screen workout player that walks you through 8 runs + 8 stations with live per-segment timing. Roxzone tracked automatically between every segment. On finish, auto-detects PB improvements and writes them.
- Time Loss Analysis. Per-station gap-to-elite computed automatically. Returns top 3 stations ranked by recoverable seconds, so you know where to focus this training block.
Feedback I'd love
- Position fatigue multipliers. I calibrated these against my own simulation data plus a handful of pro splits. Curious if these match other racers' experiences. Especially the wall ball multiplier (1.25 × PB feels right but undertested).
- Run fade coefficient. Default 1.10 (10% slower by run 8). Anyone have data showing this should be higher/lower for sub-90 vs sub-75 finishers?
- Missing stations. I have all 8 standard. Doubles / pairs / relay variations are not modeled yet. Worth adding?
Link
blacknave.com/products/hyrox-planner
30-day free trial, no card. After that it's part of a $14/mo subscription that includes 20 other tools (gym coach, macros, etc.) but the Hyrox tool is the main reason I built any of this.
Happy to answer formula questions in comments.