u/SilverRoyce

Box Office Theory Tracking Thread Mando & Grogu Preview tracking projections

Box Office Theory Tracking Thread Mando & Grogu Preview tracking projections

u/SilverRoyce — 4 hours ago

Greenlight Analytics/The Quorum has Mando & Grogu tracking for a $78M-$86M OW.

u/SilverRoyce — 15 hours ago

In The Grey carries a ~$59M production budget

Hacienda Productions Limited (In The Grey's FPC) with references to prior names "Untitled Guy Ritchie Film" / "Sid's In."

The film registered 42,601,854 GBP in intangible costs through August 2024 and another 1,924,407 GBP through June 2025. Using point GBP to usd translations at each time gets you 58.5M and you get 59.34M using today's exchange rate.

I noticed no one had flagged the budget so I thought I'd chip in.

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u/SilverRoyce — 4 days ago

The Economics of Dhurandhar are as follows:

Particulars Amount
Theatrical
India - Hindi (Share) Rs. 464.00 cr.
India - Dub (Share) Rs. 28.00 cr.
Overseas (Share) Rs. 173.00 cr.
Non Theatrical
Digital Rs. 200.00 cr.
Music Rs. 54.00 cr.
Satellite Rs. 50.00 cr.
TOTAL REVENUES (A) Rs. 969.00 cr.
Cost of Production Rs. 225.00 cr.
P&A, Interest and Overheads Rs. 30.00 cr.
Distribution Fee Rs. 46.00 cr.
TOTAL EXPENSES (B) Rs. 301.00 cr.
NET PROFIT/LOSS (A-B) Rs. 668.00 cr.

100 cr ~= $10.5M [so ~70M in profits]

NOTE

>1. The Cost of Production of the original single film was around Rs. 400 crore, which is divided evenly between the two films**.** The sequel had some extra shooting and more time costs and overheads. 

>Disclaimer: The aforementioned figures have been compiled from various industry sources and estimates. The numbers are approximate and may vary depending on final settlements, contractual structures and undisclosed terms. We do not claim absolute authenticity of the data; however, the figures are reasonably indicative of the overall financial performance of the film in question.

u/SilverRoyce — 14 days ago
▲ 190 r/boxoffice

https://deadline.com/2026/05/box-office-devil-wears-prada-2-michael-1236877817/ > Andy Serkis’ animated take of the George Orwell novel gets a C- and a very low 28% definite recommend from general audiences. Kids under 12 got it though with a 90% positive score and a 60% must see right away. Guy leaning at 53% with the 18-34 a low turnout at 35%, but better over 45 at close to 40%. The over 55 alone (the faith-based crowd) showed up at 25%. The movie is playing flat everywhere but it’s doing better in the South, Midwest, Mountain and West. The AMC Empire (NY) is the pic’s top grossing location with just over $3k.

For context, here are some films with +/- 2 general audience recommend score. Basically, it has some real stinkers (Cats started higher but fell to 30% on second weekend) but also films that were genuinely divisive/rejected by their target audience.

Men, Immaculate, Die, My Love, Holmes & Watson, Honk for Jesus. Save Your Soul., Honey Don’t, Separation, Voyagers, Firestarter, Freelance, I.S.S., The Turning, Night Swim.

The functional floor I've found with posttrak recommend anecdotes is 20% (downhill at 19%, bad Samaritan at 20%). Those much better kid numbers are a great illustration why kids movies have a much higher floor - back when age data was publicly listed on cinemascore's website, the average animation film score by under 18 year old audiences is an A- (source: "grumier old men" marketing article you can find on jstore).

The worst animated kids film score I can recall seeing is playmobil at 1.5 stars/36% recommend from the general audience

u/SilverRoyce — 17 days ago