BTC at a crossroads: Sitting on major trendline support. Bullish continuation or Bearish fakeout?
Current Market Context We are currently respecting a clear uptrend and sitting right on the main diagonal support. We just had a solid liquidity sweep below the line, but price immediately recovered and reclaimed the trendline. With the RSI sitting perfectly at 50, there is plenty of room for a move in either direction. Right now, I'm just sitting on my hands and waiting for clear confirmation.
The Bullish Scenario For the bullish case to play out, I need to see a strong candle break and close above the immediate levels. That recent dip looks exactly like a liquidity sweep designed to shake people out before fueling the next leg up.
The Bearish Scenario The bias shifts to bearish if we push up, fail to break the local resistance at 76,244, and then drop to break the main trendline. There is also a very real fakeout scenario to watch out for: we could briefly break that 76,244 resistance just to grab the liquidity above it (trapping early breakout buyers), and then use that downward momentum to slice right through the trendline.
T1 (Trade Execution Plan) For my actual execution, I'm waiting for a clean retest. Overall, considering the trend, I am leaning more towards a long trade here. If the setup confirms, my take profit target is the 80,000 – 80,500 area. That is a massive psychological magnet, and I expect heavy resistance and a huge pool of liquidity sitting right there. So yeah just waiting rn for some confirmations. What do you guys think?