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[Predictions Thread] 2026 Giro d'Italia Stage 6: Paestum > Napoli
2026 Giro d'Italia Stage 6: Paestum > Napoli
Stage info
| Date | Stage | Route | Length | Type | Altitude | Finish | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu. 14/05 | 6 | Paestum > Naples | 141 km | Easy | 808m | Cobbled | 14:05-17:15 CET |
Climbs
| Location | Cat | Km | Length | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cava de' Tirreni | 4 | km 40.1 | 7.1 kms | 2.7 % |
Sprints
| Location | Km |
|---|---|
| Brusciano | km 92.0 |
| Red Bull km | km 117.2 |
Weather
Between 15°C and 20°C. Rainy.
Stage breakdown
After yesterday's Italian Eurovision entry, Naples is taking the stage once again. The largest city in southern Italy is hosting a Giro stage finish for the fifth year in a row, when it had hosted just four Giro finishes in the fifty years prior to that. This streak began with an excellent stage in 2022 which looked like a potential Worlds course, a thrilling affair with an upset win by breakaway wizard Thomas De Gendt. Alas, the following years have all been quite dull/predictable “surefire sprints”, with wins by Pedersen, Kooij and Groves… and the trend looks set to continue this year.
Last year, the stage to Naples began from today’s host city Potenza, but this year the riders will face a long transfer to the start line. At least it’s arguably a very cool location, right by the Paestum archaeological site, which boasts some incredibly well-preserved Greek temples. In the first part of the stage, the course follows the Thyrrenian sea northwards; not long after Salerno, the stage crosses the base of the Sorrento peninsula via the climb to Cava de’ Tirreni, a lowly cat 4 but the only KOM of the day.
From now on, the rest of the stage takes place in the sprawling Naples conurbation. The course is nearly identical to last year’s stage, and that’s not necessarily good news- it was a twisted and convoluted urban course which was deemed very dangerous in the day’s wet conditions, to the point that the last part of the stage was neutralized following a bad crash which, among others, took out Hindley. This part of the stage includes two sprints, the regular one in Brusciano (49 kms to go) and the Red Bull km (24 kms to go).
There is at least a difference from previous Neapolitan stages, however, and that’s the finish line. It’s hard to imagine a prettier finale than the coastal promenade that was used in the past four Giros, but the backup is absolutely not shabby: the arrival has been moved to Piazza del Plebiscito, possibly the most famous square in the city. The approach to the finale will be quite tricky, with a succession of curves within the last km. Additionally, the last few hundred meters take place on cobbles- well-worn urban roads of course, but especially if the road is wet this could make the finish even more difficult.
With all this in mind, here are our predictions for tomorrow's stage:
★★★ Magnier
★★ Andresen, Milan
★ Groenewegen, Kubiš, Mihkels, Vernon
Rider discussion
Tomorrow's stage is very likely to end in a sprint: the course doesn't really work for a breakaway and the sprinters' teams will be keen to keep the race under control as this is the last chance for the fast men until at least stage 12.
Having won both mass sprints in the race so far, Paul Magnier is the obvious prime pick. Jonathan Milan got really close on Sunday, though, so if the trend continues, he'd be a worthy rival tomorrow. Tobias Lund Andresen has a good train which could help with the hectic finale.
Dylan Groenewegen was also very close on Sunday but we think he would've liked the old lungomare finish much better; the cobbled/rising finale is perhaps more suited to his teammate Lukaš Kubiš. Ethan Vernon was third in Burgas and we definitely can see him repeat himself; Madis Mihkels is more of an outsider pick but with two top 5s in the first two stages he's proved to be in good form and has thrived on chaotic days, so we believe he has a shot at a podium.
That's it from us, what are your opinions and predictions?