u/Ok-Age-263

▲ 3 r/spy

I’m not trusting the spy pump

Alright degens, everyone’s celebrating the rally today but I’m not buying it.

Here’s why:

Been running SPY through an AI analysis tool I’ve been using lately that breaks down technicals, ML forecasting, options flow, and sentiment all at once. On the 1D chart it’s coming back bearish, and the internals are what’s got me skeptical.

What’s bullish:

MACD is positive

Sentiment is neutral-to-positive

Inter market correlation is supportive

What’s bearish:

Supertrend (7,3) flipped bearish and carries the heaviest technical weight

The ML ensemble is independently calling downside with 71% confidence

Expected move is only 2.21% — this pump could be noise

The kicker: Non-Farm Payrolls drops tomorrow. Any technical setup right now is basically irrelevant if that number surprises. We’re trading into event risk blind.

I’m not loading up puts here, but I’m definitely not chasing calls into NFP either. Sitting on my hands feels like the actual play.

Anyone else reading this the same way or am I regarded?

Btw here is the AI I lm pretty sure it’s free

https://bullseyeai.org

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u/Ok-Age-263 — 1 day ago