So I built another simulator tool, this time the focuse is on roulette, its not perfect and is missing a lot of the options but the basic black or red function is there.
The goal is to track exactly how much you lose over the long run. Since you get infinite chips in the simulator, you can play as much as you want, but evententually you will see the cold, hard truth that you can't beat the house edge in the end and gambling really isn't a solution to anything. I've been there and the roulette table will have you believing you can predict the next numbers but in reality all spins are random. If you spin the roulette wheel enough times at some point it'll land on exactly what you think will be the next number/s, but it'll be impossible to do that more times and as fast as a casino takes your money when you lose.
The Math: Why the House Always Wins
Even in European Roulette, which only has one green zero, the math is still working against you. Many people think Red/Black is a 50/50 shot, but that single zero gives the house a 2.7% edge.
Mathematically, your "Expected Value" (E) for every $1 bet on red looks like this:
In simple terms, here is the math for every $1 you bet on Red: E = (18/37 × 1) + (19/37 × -1) = -0.027
This means that for every $100 you bet, you are statistically losing $2.70. It might feel slow, but over hundreds or thousands of spins, that "leak" is what empties your bank account. The table has no memory; it doesn't care if it landed on red ten times in a row—the next spin is still a losing bet on average.
This should be used as a reminder tool that no matter how many chips you get that big win is near enough impossible to achieve consistently. Even if you hit a "big win" in the simulator, you’ll see how quickly the house takes it back and even after a big win you know your mind will start telling you that you can do it again and we all know how that ends up.
Give it a go as a guest at eydata.uk and let the data do the talking. Save your money and your headspace. If you have any suggestions on tools or sims that you think might help let me know.
Side note: Please don't use this if you are in recovery and think this might trigger you, but for anyone still in the mist of their gambling addiction that needs help with seeing the irrationality of believing you can beat the house edge (the maths built to drain you of all your money in the long run) then give it a go and save yourself the hard earned money in your pocket.
The prizes are only their to assist with dopemine release (psychologically your brain might say if there's no finanical incentive there's no point playing, the casinos know this and pray on this even though they know you will never actually "win" in the long run), prizes will be paid but the odds of getting them are near enought the same as the lottery.