u/NeighborhoodSpare917

Price was already below VWAP with a clearly declining EMA bias was obvious. I waited for the pullback into the golden zone, 0.618 to 0.786 fib, with the 1.0 at 29,267 as my stop.
After a rough week I only wanted a trade that checked every box. This one did. I shorted the pullback, the breakdown followed, and price pushed all the way down to 29,120. No forcing, just waiting for the zone and letting it play out.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Ezi

Price was already below VWAP with a clearly declining EMA bias was obvious. I waited for the pullback into the golden zone, 0.618 to 0.786 fib, with the 1.0 at 29,267 as my stop.
After a rough week I only wanted a trade that checked every box. This one did. I shorted the pullback, the breakdown followed, and price pushed all the way down to 29,120. No forcing, just waiting for the zone and letting it play out.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Ezi

It was 15:45 and I thought I had it. NQ1! above the EMA, above the VWAP, levels looking clean. I entered at 29,238, slapped my stop at 29,176 and set my target at 29,362. Nice 2:1. Leaned back, felt good about it.
What I missed was that the EMA was going nowhere. Flat. No slope, no momentum, just price chopping around above it. The bulls tried to push through the ORH twice and got rejected both times. I told myself the breakout was still coming.
It wasn’t.
At 16:00 the market just dropped. Red after red, straight through my entry, straight through my stop. Sixty-two points gone in minutes.

Next time I wait for the setup to be obvious, not just good enough. 📈​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Bad start of the week🫠

Ezi

It was 15:45 and I thought I had it. NQ1! above the EMA, above the VWAP, levels looking clean. I entered at 29,238, slapped my stop at 29,176 and set my target at 29,362. Nice 2:1. Leaned back, felt good about it.
What I missed was that the EMA was going nowhere. Flat. No slope, no momentum, just price chopping around above it. The bulls tried to push through the ORH twice and got rejected both times. I told myself the breakout was still coming.
It wasn’t.
At 16:00 the market just dropped. Red after red, straight through my entry, straight through my stop. Sixty-two points gone in minutes.

Next time I wait for the setup to be obvious, not just good enough. 📈​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Bad start of the week🫠

Ezi

No trend, no trade
Before I even think about trading, I need one thing: a clear trend. Ranging markets work against this strategy and cause fakeouts, so if the market is going nowhere, I’m not touching it.

Reading the market before the open
The preparation starts on the 15m timeframe. I look at structure first, is there a Break of Structure or a Change of Character? Where is price trying to go? From there I mark my trendlines and note any that are already broken, because a broken trendline is confluence I can use later. Then I mark all my key levels: the previous day’s high and low, Asia high and low, London high and low, and the New York session open. I also check the news, fundamentals tell me where price wants to go. On the 1m I check my VWAP sessions and EMA 200. Price above both means I’m only looking for longs. Below both, shorts only. If price is sitting between them, I stay out.

Building the range
When the New York session opens, I wait. NY is volatile, so I almost always use the 5m ORB, occasionally the 15m if market conditions call for it, but that’s rare. I let that first 5m candle fully close, then I mark the high and low of that candle. That’s my range. I check that it’s not too wide or too tight, and I look at whether any pre-market trendline is sitting inside or near that zone. If one breaks during the ORB, that’s extra confluence.

Waiting for the breakout
Now I wait for the breakout. I need a candle to close above the range high for a long, or below the range low for a short. Personally, I also count wicks as a valid break, that’s my preference. The breakout has to align with everything I saw on the 15m: the trend, the structure, and my VWAP and EMA 200 still need to confirm the bias. If all of that lines up, I move to the entry.

Finding the entry
After the breakout I draw my Fibonacci on the most recent swing movement. If it’s hard to read on the 1m I switch to the 5m to cut out some noise. Now I have two options. If the swing was big and clear, I look for an entry at the 0.3 level with my stop at 0.7. If it’s a standard pullback, I wait for price to come back into the golden zone, between 0.5 and 0.618, and I place my stop at the 1.0 level. Whenever I use the wider 1.0 stop, I reduce my position size to keep my risk consistent. Either way, I don’t take the trade unless I have at least a 2:1 risk-reward.

Managing the trade
Once I’m in, the job is to manage it well. I take partial profits at 1R or the first key level, then move my stop to breakeven. From there I trail, I never let a winning trade turn into a loss or leave profits sitting on the table. If I’m trading micros I’ll look to add on pullbacks to Fibonacci levels as long as momentum stays strong.

The work after the trade
After the trade is closed, the work isn’t done. I take a screenshot, write in my journal, entry, exit, my reasoning, how I felt, what I can improve, and I review my overall performance for the day. That last step is what makes you better over time.

This is how I analyse every session, a lot of you have been asking about this for a while, so I hope this finally gives you what you were looking for. Now you have the full picture. I also added the checklist to make it even easier for you guys. I am not here to gatekeep my strategy. I hope yall get some profits with it🍀

Ezi out

Today I took a trade on NQ1! with the 5m ORB strategy. Had a trendline break for extra bullish confluence, got in at the 0.3 fib and put my stop at the 0.7.
Price was between the VWAP and EMA though, which isn’t a great spot to be honest. No real confirmation either way, so I just took the small win and got out. Didn’t want to sit around and watch it fade back on me.
Takeaway for next time is to wait until price is clearly on one side of the VWAP or EMA. Trading in between those two is just trading in uncertainty. Small size and quick hands is the move there, which I did, but I want to be more intentional about it going forward.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Ezi

Ps:This whas ny open yesterday. I have the guide/checklist ready wich explains what I look for pre and during markets! Using orb.

Today I took a trade on NQ1! with the 5m ORB strategy. Had a trendline break for extra bullish confluence, got in at the 0.3 fib and put my stop at the 0.7.
Price was between the VWAP and EMA though, which isn’t a great spot to be honest. No real confirmation either way, so I just took the small win and got out. Didn’t want to sit around and watch it fade back on me.
Takeaway for next time is to wait until price is clearly on one side of the VWAP or EMA. Trading in between those two is just trading in uncertainty. Small size and quick hands is the move there, which I did, but I want to be more intentional about it going forward.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Ezi

Ps:This whas ny open yesterday

Good setup honestly. Price was above EMA200 and VWAP, bullish bias was there, fibs were clean. I just jumped in way too early at the 0.3 fib while price was still chopping around inside the range. Classic me anticipating the move instead of waiting for confirmation.
Frustrating part is my direction was completely right. Price did exactly what I expected, just tested my patience first. If I had waited for a clean close above the ORB high, or even better a retest of it, I would’ve entered with way more confidence and a cleaner risk.
The trail habit I’m building is good though. I just need to remember to move to breakeven after +10-15 points and then trail on swing lows. That spike to 27.927 dumped fast, so without a trail I would’ve given it all back anyway.
Right idea, wrong timing. Work in progress.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ this is london

Ezi

Ps: Should I post full strategy here this week? I just finished my guide.

Good setup honestly. Price was above EMA200 and VWAP, bullish bias was there, fibs were clean. I just jumped in way too early at the 0.3 fib while price was still chopping around inside the range. Classic me anticipating the move instead of waiting for confirmation.
Frustrating part is my direction was completely right. Price did exactly what I expected, just tested my patience first. If I had waited for a clean close above the ORB high, or even better a retest of it, I would’ve entered with way more confidence and a cleaner risk.
The trail habit I’m building is good though. I just need to remember to move to breakeven after +10-15 points and then trail on swing lows. That spike to 27.927 dumped fast, so without a trail I would’ve given it all back anyway.
Right idea, wrong timing. Work in progress.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Ezi

Ps: My full strategy is posted in my discord. Do you want it posted and pinned here?

This was honestly one of my cleanest A+ setups lately.

Trendline break right before the open, then a clear shift in structure. Price got back above VWAP and EMA, so bias was pretty clear, bullish. After the ORB formed, price pulled back into the 0.3 fib, that’s where I got in. Stop at the 0.7 fib, nice and tight. Everything lined up, structure, momentum, timing. I was aiming for 2:1 RR, but ended up closing early before it hit. Still a solid trade.

These are the ones you want… just execute and don’t overthink.

Ezi

Ps: This is london open today.

This was honestly one of my cleanest A+ setups lately.

Trendline break right before the open, then a clear shift in structure. Price got back above VWAP and EMA, so bias was pretty clear, bullish. After the ORB formed, price pulled back into the 0.3 fib, that’s where I got in. Stop at the 0.7 fib, nice and tight.

Everything lined up, structure, momentum, timing. I was aiming for 2:1 RR, but ended up closing early before it hit. Still a solid trade.

These are the ones you want… just execute and don’t overthink.

Ezi