Q2 guesstimate so far going by semrush numbers: 18.8% yoy growth
I have semrush unique visitors and total visits going back to february of last year. I wanted to make a comparison of the semrush estimates vs the reddit actuals. The Normalize here is just average the growth semrush shows for unique visitors and total visits.
It is hard to tell if it is just noise from semrush or if there is much signal. But maybe others here would be interested in seeing the results. Reddit has been stepping up efforts to remove bots and scraping by AI companies, which likely adds to the noise. As Semrush may count bots, but reddit may not, and reddit may remove scraping which Smerush sees as a drop. So it is hard to separate. Towards the end of the quarter, I will see if there is a better way to parse the numbers
As we do not fully have q2, I have added both to the table: Comparing April against full q2 average and comparing April to last years April
| Quarter | Semrush Normalized QoQ | Reddit Actual QoQ | Semrush Normalized YoY | Reddit Actual YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — | — | — | — |
| Q2 2025 | -2.3% | +2.1% | — | — |
| Q3 2025 | +7.3% | +5.1% | — | — |
| Q4 2025 | +7.5% | +4.7% | — | — |
| Q1 2026 | -0.8% | +4.4% | +11.5% | +17.3% |
| Q2 2026 (Apr against quarter) | +4.0% | Pending | +18.8% | Pending |
| Q2 2026 (Apr against Apr) | +4.0% | Pending | +26.7% | Pending |